La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.960.842.81safe1.00–2.930.00–1.700.98–4.63safer0.74–3.180.00–1.930.51–5.11
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.953.069.01safe4.09–7.821.31–4.805.41–12.62safer3.60–8.310.85–5.274.45–13.57
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.249.3226.57safe13.32–21.175.76–12.8819.08–34.05safer12.23–22.264.80–13.8417.03–36.10
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.135.8616.98safe8.18–14.073.18–8.5411.36–22.61safer7.35–14.902.44–9.289.79–24.17
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.831.956.78safe2.94–6.710.30–3.613.24–10.32safer2.40–7.250.00–4.102.21–11.35
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.103.4010.50safe4.88–9.311.40–5.406.29–14.71safer4.31–9.890.87–5.935.18–15.82
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction63.9235.57safe57.13–70.7128.78–42.35safer55.46–72.3827.11–44.02
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction575293868safe508–643226–359735–1002safer490–661209–377699–1038
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction74.6865.52safe70.65–78.7161.20–69.85safer69.36–80.0159.89–71.16
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4513.2325.68safe9.61–15.2910.29–16.1819.90–31.46safer8.86–16.049.54–16.9218.39–32.97
Offsides
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.624.20safe0.42–2.741.53–3.711.95–6.45safer0.12–3.041.24–4.001.36–7.04
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.454.14safe0.64–2.741.32–3.581.96–6.32safer0.38–3.011.03–3.871.41–6.88
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
20%
14%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.846.11safe0.84–3.712.28–5.393.12–9.10safer0.45–4.101.86–5.822.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.96 1.00–2.93 0.74–3.18 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 64% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.95 4.09–7.82 3.60–8.31 | 3.06 1.31–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 9.01 5.41–12.62 4.45–13.57 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.24 13.32–21.17 12.23–22.26 | 9.32 5.76–12.88 4.80–13.84 | 26.57 19.08–34.05 17.03–36.10 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.13 8.18–14.07 7.35–14.90 | 5.86 3.18–8.54 2.44–9.28 | 16.98 11.36–22.61 9.79–24.17 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.94–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 1.95 0.30–3.61 0.00–4.10 | 6.78 3.24–10.32 2.21–11.35 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.10 4.88–9.31 4.31–9.89 | 3.40 1.40–5.40 0.87–5.93 | 10.50 6.29–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 84% |
| Possession % | 63.92 57.13–70.71 55.46–72.38 | 35.57 28.78–42.35 27.11–44.02 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 575 508–643 490–661 | 293 226–359 209–377 | 868 735–1002 699–1038 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.68 70.65–78.71 69.36–80.01 | 65.52 61.20–69.85 59.89–71.16 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.45 9.61–15.29 8.86–16.04 | 13.23 10.29–16.18 9.54–16.92 | 25.68 19.90–31.46 18.39–32.97 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 2.62 1.53–3.71 1.24–4.00 | 4.20 1.95–6.45 1.36–7.04 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 2.45 1.32–3.58 1.03–3.87 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.41–6.88 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 6.11 3.12–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 20% 14% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.