La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
24%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.682.63safe0.00–1.910.83–2.540.81–4.45safer0.00–2.170.60–2.770.33–4.93
Shots on target
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.525.018.53safe1.65–5.383.27–6.764.92–12.13safer1.16–5.872.80–7.223.97–13.09
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9014.5726.47safe7.98–15.8311.01–18.1318.99–33.96safer6.89–16.9210.05–19.0916.94–36.01
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction6.539.9216.45safe3.59–9.477.24–12.6010.82–22.07safer2.76–10.306.50–13.349.26–23.64
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.934.467.39safe1.05–4.812.81–6.123.86–10.93safer0.50–5.362.32–6.612.82–11.96
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.7110.00safe2.08–6.513.71–7.715.79–14.22safer1.51–7.093.17–8.244.68–15.33
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.6863.20safe29.89–43.4756.42–69.99safer28.22–45.1454.75–71.66
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction324556881safe257–392490–623747–1015safer239–410472–640712–1050
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction61.7076.63safe57.67–65.7372.31–80.95safer56.38–67.0371.00–82.26
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5412.3824.91safe9.70–15.389.43–15.3219.13–30.70safer8.94–16.138.68–16.0717.63–32.20
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.721.494.21safe1.56–3.880.40–2.591.96–6.47safer1.26–4.180.11–2.871.37–7.06
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.823.82safe0.96–3.050.69–2.951.65–6.00safer0.69–3.320.40–3.241.09–6.56
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
53%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.192.485.67safe1.76–4.630.92–4.032.68–8.66safer1.37–5.020.50–4.461.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.95 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.17 | 1.68 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 21% 24% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.52 1.65–5.38 1.16–5.87 | 5.01 3.27–6.76 2.80–7.22 | 8.53 4.92–12.13 3.97–13.09 | 24% 63% |
| Total shots | 11.90 7.98–15.83 6.89–16.92 | 14.57 11.01–18.13 10.05–19.09 | 26.47 18.99–33.96 16.94–36.01 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 6.53 3.59–9.47 2.76–10.30 | 9.92 7.24–12.60 6.50–13.34 | 16.45 10.82–22.07 9.26–23.64 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 2.93 1.05–4.81 0.50–5.36 | 4.46 2.81–6.12 2.32–6.61 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.96 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 4.30 2.08–6.51 1.51–7.09 | 5.71 3.71–7.71 3.17–8.24 | 10.00 5.79–14.22 4.68–15.33 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 36.68 29.89–43.47 28.22–45.14 | 63.20 56.42–69.99 54.75–71.66 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 324 257–392 239–410 | 556 490–623 472–640 | 881 747–1015 712–1050 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.70 57.67–65.73 56.38–67.03 | 76.63 72.31–80.95 71.00–82.26 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.54 9.70–15.38 8.94–16.13 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 24.91 19.13–30.70 17.63–32.20 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.72 1.56–3.88 1.26–4.18 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.87 | 4.21 1.96–6.47 1.37–7.06 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.82 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.19 1.76–4.63 1.37–5.02 | 2.48 0.92–4.03 0.50–4.46 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.87–9.48 | 53% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+