La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.240.773.00safe1.27–3.210.00–1.621.18–4.83safer1.02–3.460.00–1.850.70–5.31
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.932.499.41safe5.06–8.790.75–4.235.81–13.02safer4.57–9.280.28–4.704.85–13.97
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction18.428.2126.63safe14.50–22.344.65–11.7719.14–34.12safer13.40–23.443.69–12.7317.09–36.17
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.244.9717.20safe9.29–15.182.29–7.6511.58–22.83safer8.46–16.011.55–8.3910.01–24.39
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.066.74safe2.80–6.560.40–3.713.20–10.27safer2.26–7.110.00–4.202.17–11.31
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction6.912.879.78safe4.70–9.120.87–4.875.57–13.99safer4.12–9.700.34–5.404.46–15.10
Possession %
84%
13%
homeawayprediction58.9440.99safe52.15–65.7334.21–47.78safer50.48–67.4032.54–49.45
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction6064031009safe539–674336–469876–1143safer521–692319–487840–1179
Pass accuracy %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction77.8172.64safe73.78–81.8468.31–76.96safer72.49–83.1467.01–78.27
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5110.8121.32safe7.67–13.357.87–13.7615.54–27.10safer6.91–14.107.12–14.5114.03–28.61
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.393.21safe0.66–2.990.30–2.480.96–5.47safer0.36–3.290.01–2.770.37–6.06
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.943.31safe0.32–2.420.81–3.071.14–5.49safer0.06–2.690.52–3.360.58–6.05
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction1.804.616.41safe0.37–3.243.05–6.163.42–9.40safer0.00–3.632.62–6.592.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.27–3.21 1.02–3.46 | 0.77 0.00–1.62 0.00–1.85 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 71% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.93 5.06–8.79 4.57–9.28 | 2.49 0.75–4.23 0.28–4.70 | 9.41 5.81–13.02 4.85–13.97 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.42 14.50–22.34 13.40–23.44 | 8.21 4.65–11.77 3.69–12.73 | 26.63 19.14–34.12 17.09–36.17 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.24 9.29–15.18 8.46–16.01 | 4.97 2.29–7.65 1.55–8.39 | 17.20 11.58–22.83 10.01–24.39 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 4.68 2.80–6.56 2.26–7.11 | 2.06 0.40–3.71 0.00–4.20 | 6.74 3.20–10.27 2.17–11.31 | 80% |
| Corners | 6.91 4.70–9.12 4.12–9.70 | 2.87 0.87–4.87 0.34–5.40 | 9.78 5.57–13.99 4.46–15.10 | 88% |
| Possession % | 58.94 52.15–65.73 50.48–67.40 | 40.99 34.21–47.78 32.54–49.45 | — | 84% 13% |
| Passes | 606 539–674 521–692 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 1009 876–1143 840–1179 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.81 73.78–81.84 72.49–83.14 | 72.64 68.31–76.96 67.01–78.27 | — | 73% 23% |
| Fouls | 10.51 7.67–13.35 6.91–14.10 | 10.81 7.87–13.76 7.12–14.51 | 21.32 15.54–27.10 14.03–28.61 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.66–2.99 0.36–3.29 | 1.39 0.30–2.48 0.01–2.77 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.31 1.14–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.80 0.37–3.24 0.00–3.63 | 4.61 3.05–6.16 2.62–6.59 | 6.41 3.42–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.