La Liga·Regular Season - 21·
La Liga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction0.941.872.80safe0.00–1.901.01–2.720.98–4.63safer0.00–2.150.78–2.950.50–5.10
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.095.238.32safe1.23–4.953.49–6.974.72–11.93safer0.74–5.443.02–7.443.76–12.88
Total shots
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3814.9825.36safe6.46–14.3011.41–18.5417.87–32.84safer5.36–15.4010.45–19.5015.82–34.89
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.699.7115.40safe2.75–8.637.03–12.399.78–21.02safer1.92–9.466.29–13.138.21–22.59
Blocked shots
22%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.824.387.20safe0.94–4.702.72–6.033.66–10.73safer0.39–5.242.23–6.522.63–11.77
Corners
26%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.885.369.24safe1.66–6.093.36–7.365.03–13.45safer1.09–6.662.83–7.893.92–14.56
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.6955.47safe37.90–51.4848.68–62.25safer36.23–53.1547.01–63.92
Passes
17%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4515631014safe384–518497–629880–1147safer365–536479–647844–1183
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction68.2878.77safe64.26–72.3174.45–83.10safer62.96–73.6173.14–84.41
Fouls
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5611.9322.49safe7.72–13.408.99–14.8816.71–28.27safer6.97–14.158.24–15.6315.20–29.78
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.893.52safe0.47–2.790.80–2.991.27–5.78safer0.17–3.090.51–3.270.68–6.37
Yellow cards
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.783.66safe0.82–2.920.65–2.911.48–5.83safer0.56–3.190.36–3.200.92–6.39
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.070.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.410.00–0.390.00–0.81
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.552.385.93safe2.11–4.980.82–3.942.93–8.92safer1.72–5.370.40–4.362.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.90 0.00–2.15 | 1.87 1.01–2.72 0.78–2.95 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.10 | 18% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.09 1.23–4.95 0.74–5.44 | 5.23 3.49–6.97 3.02–7.44 | 8.32 4.72–11.93 3.76–12.88 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 10.38 6.46–14.30 5.36–15.40 | 14.98 11.41–18.54 10.45–19.50 | 25.36 17.87–32.84 15.82–34.89 | 15% 79% |
| Shots in box | 5.69 2.75–8.63 1.92–9.46 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.13 | 15.40 9.78–21.02 8.21–22.59 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.82 0.94–4.70 0.39–5.24 | 4.38 2.72–6.03 2.23–6.52 | 7.20 3.66–10.73 2.63–11.77 | 22% 65% |
| Corners | 3.88 1.66–6.09 1.09–6.66 | 5.36 3.36–7.36 2.83–7.89 | 9.24 5.03–13.45 3.92–14.56 | 26% 63% |
| Possession % | 44.69 37.90–51.48 36.23–53.15 | 55.47 48.68–62.25 47.01–63.92 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 451 384–518 365–536 | 563 497–629 479–647 | 1014 880–1147 844–1183 | 17% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.28 64.26–72.31 62.96–73.61 | 78.77 74.45–83.10 73.14–84.41 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.40 6.97–14.15 | 11.93 8.99–14.88 8.24–15.63 | 22.49 16.71–28.27 15.20–29.78 | 35% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.89 0.80–2.99 0.51–3.27 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.55 2.11–4.98 1.72–5.37 | 2.38 0.82–3.94 0.40–4.36 | 5.93 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+