La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
17%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.651.303.95safe1.68–3.620.45–2.162.13–5.77safer1.43–3.870.22–2.381.65–6.25
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.383.7711.15safe5.52–9.242.03–5.527.55–14.76safer5.03–9.731.56–5.986.59–15.71
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.079.0429.12safe16.15–24.005.48–12.6121.63–36.60safer15.06–25.094.52–13.5619.58–38.65
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction13.916.5620.47safe10.97–16.853.88–9.2414.85–26.10safer10.14–17.683.14–9.9813.28–27.66
Blocked shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.492.257.74safe3.61–7.380.59–3.904.21–11.28safer3.07–7.920.10–4.393.17–12.31
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction8.063.2611.32safe5.85–10.281.26–5.267.11–15.54safer5.28–10.850.72–5.796.00–16.64
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.4331.45safe61.63–75.2224.67–38.24safer59.97–76.8922.99–39.91
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7013331034safe633–768267–400900–1168safer615–786249–417864–1203
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction81.0369.24safe77.00–85.0664.92–73.56safer75.71–86.3563.61–74.87
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7511.2822.02safe7.91–13.588.33–14.2216.24–27.81safer7.15–14.347.58–14.9714.74–29.31
Offsides
17%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction1.943.645.57safe0.78–3.102.54–4.733.32–7.83safer0.48–3.402.25–5.022.73–8.42
Yellow cards
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.283.93safe0.61–2.711.15–3.401.75–6.11safer0.34–2.970.86–3.701.20–6.67
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
14%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.484.837.32safe1.05–3.923.28–6.394.32–10.31safer0.66–4.312.85–6.823.51–11.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.65 1.68–3.62 1.43–3.87 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.38 | 3.95 2.13–5.77 1.65–6.25 | 66% 17% 17% |
| Shots on target | 7.38 5.52–9.24 5.03–9.73 | 3.77 2.03–5.52 1.56–5.98 | 11.15 7.55–14.76 6.59–15.71 | 83% |
| Total shots | 20.07 16.15–24.00 15.06–25.09 | 9.04 5.48–12.61 4.52–13.56 | 29.12 21.63–36.60 19.58–38.65 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.91 10.97–16.85 10.14–17.68 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.98 | 20.47 14.85–26.10 13.28–27.66 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.49 3.61–7.38 3.07–7.92 | 2.25 0.59–3.90 0.10–4.39 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 84% |
| Corners | 8.06 5.85–10.28 5.28–10.85 | 3.26 1.26–5.26 0.72–5.79 | 11.32 7.11–15.54 6.00–16.64 | 90% |
| Possession % | 68.43 61.63–75.22 59.97–76.89 | 31.45 24.67–38.24 22.99–39.91 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 701 633–768 615–786 | 333 267–400 249–417 | 1034 900–1168 864–1203 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.03 77.00–85.06 75.71–86.35 | 69.24 64.92–73.56 63.61–74.87 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.75 7.91–13.58 7.15–14.34 | 11.28 8.33–14.22 7.58–14.97 | 22.02 16.24–27.81 14.74–29.31 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 3.64 2.54–4.73 2.25–5.02 | 5.57 3.32–7.83 2.73–8.42 | 17% 14% 69% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.28 1.15–3.40 0.86–3.70 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 4.83 3.28–6.39 2.85–6.82 | 7.32 4.32–10.31 3.51–11.12 | 14% 75% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.