La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.131.552.68safe0.16–2.100.70–2.410.86–4.50safer0.00–2.350.47–2.630.38–4.98
Shots on target
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.225.159.36safe2.35–6.083.41–6.895.76–12.97safer1.86–6.572.94–7.364.80–13.93
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5714.3726.94safe8.65–16.5010.80–17.9319.45–34.42safer7.55–17.599.84–18.8917.40–36.47
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.139.3917.52safe5.19–11.076.71–12.0711.90–23.15safer4.36–11.905.97–12.8110.33–24.71
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.414.337.74safe1.53–5.292.67–5.984.20–11.27safer0.99–5.842.18–6.473.17–12.31
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.899.69safe2.59–7.022.89–6.895.48–13.90safer2.02–7.592.35–7.424.37–15.01
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.2256.88safe37.43–51.0150.10–63.67safer35.76–52.6848.42–65.34
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction440551992safe373–508485–618858–1126safer355–526467–635822–1161
Pass accuracy %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction68.4976.51safe64.46–72.5272.19–80.84safer63.17–73.8170.88–82.15
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3310.2422.57safe9.49–15.177.30–13.1916.79–28.36safer8.74–15.936.55–13.9415.29–29.86
Offsides
72%
15%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.214.10safe1.73–4.050.12–2.311.85–6.35safer1.42–4.350.00–2.601.26–6.94
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.884.11safe1.18–3.280.75–3.011.93–6.29safer0.92–3.550.46–3.301.37–6.85
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
50%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.056.62safe2.13–5.001.50–4.613.63–9.61safer1.74–5.391.07–5.032.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.13 0.16–2.10 0.00–2.35 | 1.55 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.63 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.35–6.08 1.86–6.57 | 5.15 3.41–6.89 2.94–7.36 | 9.36 5.76–12.97 4.80–13.93 | 32% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.57 8.65–16.50 7.55–17.59 | 14.37 10.80–17.93 9.84–18.89 | 26.94 19.45–34.42 17.40–36.47 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 8.13 5.19–11.07 4.36–11.90 | 9.39 6.71–12.07 5.97–12.81 | 17.52 11.90–23.15 10.33–24.71 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.99–5.84 | 4.33 2.67–5.98 2.18–6.47 | 7.74 4.20–11.27 3.17–12.31 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.59–7.02 2.02–7.59 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 9.69 5.48–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 44.22 37.43–51.01 35.76–52.68 | 56.88 50.10–63.67 48.42–65.34 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 440 373–508 355–526 | 551 485–618 467–635 | 992 858–1126 822–1161 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.49 64.46–72.52 63.17–73.81 | 76.51 72.19–80.84 70.88–82.15 | — | 14% 83% |
| Fouls | 12.33 9.49–15.17 8.74–15.93 | 10.24 7.30–13.19 6.55–13.94 | 22.57 16.79–28.36 15.29–29.86 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.42–4.35 | 1.21 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 4.10 1.85–6.35 1.26–6.94 | 72% 15% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 4.11 1.93–6.29 1.37–6.85 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 3.05 1.50–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 50% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.