La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
26%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.462.68safe0.26–2.200.60–2.310.86–4.51safer0.01–2.450.37–2.540.38–4.99
Shots on target
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.974.828.79safe2.11–5.833.07–6.565.18–12.39safer1.62–6.322.61–7.034.23–13.35
Total shots
24%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4514.6126.06safe7.53–15.3811.04–18.1718.57–33.55safer6.44–16.4710.08–19.1316.52–35.60
Shots in box
23%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction6.869.2616.12safe3.92–9.806.58–11.9510.50–21.75safer3.09–10.635.85–12.688.93–23.31
Blocked shots
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.163.676.83safe1.28–5.042.01–5.323.29–10.36safer0.74–5.591.52–5.812.26–11.40
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.575.239.80safe2.36–6.793.23–7.235.59–14.01safer1.79–7.362.69–7.764.48–15.12
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.8449.18safe45.05–58.6342.39–55.96safer43.38–60.3040.72–57.63
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction448405853safe380–515339–472719–987safer362–533321–489684–1022
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction66.5569.92safe62.52–70.5865.59–74.24safer61.22–71.8764.28–75.55
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9715.1728.13safe10.13–15.8012.22–18.1122.35–33.91safer9.37–16.5611.47–18.8620.84–35.42
Offsides
15%
15%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.974.37safe0.24–2.561.88–4.072.12–6.62safer0.00–2.861.59–4.361.53–7.21
Yellow cards
41%
19%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.452.434.88safe1.40–3.501.30–3.562.71–7.06safer1.13–3.771.01–3.852.15–7.62
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.120.24safe0.00–0.290.00–0.300.00–0.59safer0.00–0.440.00–0.440.00–0.87
GK saves
53%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.625.92safe1.86–4.731.06–4.182.93–8.91safer1.47–5.120.64–4.602.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 32% 26% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.11–5.83 1.62–6.32 | 4.82 3.07–6.56 2.61–7.03 | 8.79 5.18–12.39 4.23–13.35 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 11.45 7.53–15.38 6.44–16.47 | 14.61 11.04–18.17 10.08–19.13 | 26.06 18.57–33.55 16.52–35.60 | 24% 70% |
| Shots in box | 6.86 3.92–9.80 3.09–10.63 | 9.26 6.58–11.95 5.85–12.68 | 16.12 10.50–21.75 8.93–23.31 | 23% 68% |
| Blocked shots | 3.16 1.28–5.04 0.74–5.59 | 3.67 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 6.83 3.29–10.36 2.26–11.40 | 35% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 4.57 2.36–6.79 1.79–7.36 | 5.23 3.23–7.23 2.69–7.76 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 51.84 45.05–58.63 43.38–60.30 | 49.18 42.39–55.96 40.72–57.63 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 448 380–515 362–533 | 405 339–472 321–489 | 853 719–987 684–1022 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.55 62.52–70.58 61.22–71.87 | 69.92 65.59–74.24 64.28–75.55 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.13–15.80 9.37–16.56 | 15.17 12.22–18.11 11.47–18.86 | 28.13 22.35–33.91 20.84–35.42 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.97 1.88–4.07 1.59–4.36 | 4.37 2.12–6.62 1.53–7.21 | 15% 15% 70% |
| Yellow cards | 2.45 1.40–3.50 1.13–3.77 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.88 2.71–7.06 2.15–7.62 | 41% 19% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.62 1.06–4.18 0.64–4.60 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 53% 16% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+