La Liga·Regular Season - 27·
La Liga·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.062.97safe0.94–2.880.21–1.921.15–4.79safer0.69–3.130.00–2.150.67–5.27
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.273.718.97safe3.40–7.131.97–5.455.37–12.58safer2.91–7.621.50–5.924.41–13.53
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1110.0626.18safe12.19–20.046.50–13.6318.69–33.66safer11.10–21.135.54–14.5816.64–35.71
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction10.926.2117.13safe7.98–13.863.53–8.9011.51–22.76safer7.15–14.692.80–9.639.94–24.32
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.336.85safe2.64–6.400.68–3.983.32–10.39safer2.10–6.950.19–4.482.28–11.42
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.6010.03safe4.21–8.641.60–5.605.82–14.24safer3.64–9.211.07–6.144.71–15.35
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction51.6447.67safe44.85–58.4340.89–54.46safer43.18–60.1039.22–56.13
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction458415873safe391–525348–481739–1007safer373–543331–499704–1042
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction67.6469.76safe63.62–71.6765.43–74.08safer62.32–72.9764.13–75.39
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3112.8227.13safe11.47–17.159.87–15.7621.34–32.91safer10.72–17.909.12–16.5119.84–34.41
Offsides
67%
17%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.691.314.00safe1.53–3.850.21–2.401.74–6.25safer1.23–4.150.00–2.691.15–6.84
Yellow cards
29%
19%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.802.434.23safe0.75–2.851.30–3.562.05–6.41safer0.48–3.111.01–3.851.49–6.97
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
26%
16%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.355.70safe0.91–3.781.80–4.912.71–8.69safer0.52–4.171.37–5.331.89–9.50
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.27 3.40–7.13 2.91–7.62 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 8.97 5.37–12.58 4.41–13.53 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 16.11 12.19–20.04 11.10–21.13 | 10.06 6.50–13.63 5.54–14.58 | 26.18 18.69–33.66 16.64–35.71 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.92 7.98–13.86 7.15–14.69 | 6.21 3.53–8.90 2.80–9.63 | 17.13 11.51–22.76 9.94–24.32 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.40 2.10–6.95 | 2.33 0.68–3.98 0.19–4.48 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.07–6.14 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 51.64 44.85–58.43 43.18–60.10 | 47.67 40.89–54.46 39.22–56.13 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–543 | 415 348–481 331–499 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.64 63.62–71.67 62.32–72.97 | 69.76 65.43–74.08 64.13–75.39 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 14.31 11.47–17.15 10.72–17.90 | 12.82 9.87–15.76 9.12–16.51 | 27.13 21.34–32.91 19.84–34.41 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 2.69 1.53–3.85 1.23–4.15 | 1.31 0.21–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 4.00 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.84 | 67% 17% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.23 2.05–6.41 1.49–6.97 | 29% 19% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.35 1.80–4.91 1.37–5.33 | 5.70 2.71–8.69 1.89–9.50 | 26% 16% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.