La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.482.96safe0.51–2.450.63–2.341.14–4.79safer0.26–2.700.40–2.570.66–5.27
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.319.54safe3.37–7.102.56–6.055.93–13.14safer2.88–7.582.10–6.514.98–14.10
Total shots
68%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction15.7312.7728.50safe11.80–19.659.20–16.3321.01–35.98safer10.71–20.748.24–17.2918.96–38.03
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction9.118.0717.17safe6.16–12.055.39–10.7511.55–22.80safer5.34–12.884.65–11.499.98–24.36
Blocked shots
54%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.076.92safe1.97–5.741.41–4.723.39–10.46safer1.43–6.280.92–5.212.35–11.49
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.6610.15safe3.28–7.712.66–6.665.94–14.36safer2.71–8.282.12–7.194.83–15.47
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction46.8852.72safe40.09–53.6745.94–59.51safer38.42–55.3444.26–61.18
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction423466890safe356–491400–533756–1024safer338–509382–550721–1059
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction65.2171.01safe61.18–69.2466.69–75.33safer59.89–70.5365.38–76.64
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0612.2825.34safe10.22–15.909.33–15.2219.56–31.12safer9.47–16.668.59–15.9718.05–32.63
Offsides
63%
16%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.051.794.84safe1.89–4.210.70–2.892.59–7.10safer1.59–4.510.41–3.182.00–7.69
Yellow cards
47%
19%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.422.074.49safe1.37–3.470.94–3.202.31–6.67safer1.10–3.730.65–3.491.75–7.22
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
34%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.266.04safe1.35–4.221.70–4.823.05–9.03safer0.96–4.611.28–5.242.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.48 0.51–2.45 0.26–2.70 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.96 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 38% 24% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.37–7.10 2.88–7.58 | 4.31 2.56–6.05 2.10–6.51 | 9.54 5.93–13.14 4.98–14.10 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.73 11.80–19.65 10.71–20.74 | 12.77 9.20–16.33 8.24–17.29 | 28.50 21.01–35.98 18.96–38.03 | 68% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.11 6.16–12.05 5.34–12.88 | 8.07 5.39–10.75 4.65–11.49 | 17.17 11.55–22.80 9.98–24.36 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.07 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 46.88 40.09–53.67 38.42–55.34 | 52.72 45.94–59.51 44.26–61.18 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 423 356–491 338–509 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 890 756–1024 721–1059 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.21 61.18–69.24 59.89–70.53 | 71.01 66.69–75.33 65.38–76.64 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 13.06 10.22–15.90 9.47–16.66 | 12.28 9.33–15.22 8.59–15.97 | 25.34 19.56–31.12 18.05–32.63 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 3.05 1.89–4.21 1.59–4.51 | 1.79 0.70–2.89 0.41–3.18 | 4.84 2.59–7.10 2.00–7.69 | 63% 16% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 2.42 1.37–3.47 1.10–3.73 | 2.07 0.94–3.20 0.65–3.49 | 4.49 2.31–6.67 1.75–7.22 | 47% 19% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.26 1.70–4.82 1.28–5.24 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.24–9.85 | 34% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+