La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
24%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.052.80safe0.79–2.720.19–1.900.98–4.63safer0.54–2.980.00–2.130.50–5.11
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.783.939.71safe3.92–7.642.19–5.676.11–13.32safer3.43–8.131.72–6.145.15–14.27
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0311.5127.54safe12.11–19.967.95–15.0720.06–35.03safer11.02–21.056.99–16.0318.01–37.08
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.697.7418.43safe7.75–13.635.06–10.4212.80–24.05safer6.92–14.464.32–11.1511.24–25.62
Blocked shots
64%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.432.927.35safe2.54–6.311.27–4.573.81–10.88safer2.00–6.850.78–5.072.78–11.92
Corners
70%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.444.2710.72safe4.23–8.662.27–6.276.50–14.93safer3.66–9.231.74–6.805.39–16.04
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction57.1643.53safe50.37–63.9536.75–50.32safer48.70–65.6235.08–51.99
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction539395934safe472–606329–461800–1068safer454–624311–479765–1103
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction68.0268.38safe63.99–72.0464.06–72.70safer62.69–73.3462.75–74.01
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9111.0221.93safe8.07–13.758.08–13.9716.15–27.71safer7.31–14.507.33–14.7214.65–29.22
Offsides
46%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.823.96safe0.97–3.290.73–2.921.70–6.21safer0.67–3.590.44–3.211.11–6.80
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.943.68safe0.69–2.790.81–3.071.50–5.86safer0.42–3.050.52–3.360.94–6.41
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.683.996.67safe1.25–4.122.43–5.553.68–9.66safer0.86–4.502.01–5.972.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.98 | 1.05 0.19–1.90 0.00–2.13 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 54% 24% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.78 3.92–7.64 3.43–8.13 | 3.93 2.19–5.67 1.72–6.14 | 9.71 6.11–13.32 5.15–14.27 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.03 12.11–19.96 11.02–21.05 | 11.51 7.95–15.07 6.99–16.03 | 27.54 20.06–35.03 18.01–37.08 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.69 7.75–13.63 6.92–14.46 | 7.74 5.06–10.42 4.32–11.15 | 18.43 12.80–24.05 11.24–25.62 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.54–6.31 2.00–6.85 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.78–5.07 | 7.35 3.81–10.88 2.78–11.92 | 64% 23% |
| Corners | 6.44 4.23–8.66 3.66–9.23 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.80 | 10.72 6.50–14.93 5.39–16.04 | 70% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.16 50.37–63.95 48.70–65.62 | 43.53 36.75–50.32 35.08–51.99 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 539 472–606 454–624 | 395 329–461 311–479 | 934 800–1068 765–1103 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.02 63.99–72.04 62.69–73.34 | 68.38 64.06–72.70 62.75–74.01 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.07–13.75 7.31–14.50 | 11.02 8.08–13.97 7.33–14.72 | 21.93 16.15–27.71 14.65–29.22 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.96 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.80 | 46% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.50 | 3.99 2.43–5.55 2.01–5.97 | 6.67 3.68–9.66 2.87–10.48 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.