Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
28%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.390.832.21safe0.42–2.350.00–1.680.39–4.03safer0.17–2.610.00–1.910.00–4.51
Shots on target
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.667.39safe2.87–6.600.92–4.403.79–11.00safer2.38–7.090.45–4.872.83–11.95
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction15.558.1723.72safe11.62–19.474.61–11.7416.24–31.21safer10.53–20.573.65–12.7014.19–33.26
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction9.225.2514.48safe6.28–12.172.57–7.938.85–20.10safer5.45–13.001.83–8.677.29–21.67
Blocked shots
75%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.101.946.04safe2.21–5.980.29–3.602.50–9.57safer1.67–6.520.00–4.091.47–10.61
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.033.189.21safe3.81–8.241.18–5.184.99–13.42safer3.24–8.810.65–5.713.89–14.53
Possession %
66%
30%
homeawayprediction53.9446.10safe47.15–60.7339.32–52.89safer45.48–62.4037.64–54.56
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction441368809safe374–508302–435675–943safer355–526284–452640–978
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction68.4865.85safe64.45–72.5061.52–70.17safer63.15–73.8060.21–71.48
Fouls
32%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7415.8429.58safe10.90–16.5812.89–18.7823.80–35.36safer10.15–17.3412.14–19.5322.29–36.87
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.683.23safe0.39–2.710.58–2.770.98–5.48safer0.09–3.020.30–3.060.39–6.07
Yellow cards
26%
17%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.894.89safe0.94–3.041.77–4.022.71–7.06safer0.68–3.311.47–4.312.15–7.62
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.833.405.23safe0.39–3.271.85–4.962.24–8.22safer0.01–3.651.42–5.381.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.21 0.39–4.03 0.00–4.51 | 50% 28% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.87–6.60 2.38–7.09 | 2.66 0.92–4.40 0.45–4.87 | 7.39 3.79–11.00 2.83–11.95 | 72% 17% |
| Total shots | 15.55 11.62–19.47 10.53–20.57 | 8.17 4.61–11.74 3.65–12.70 | 23.72 16.24–31.21 14.19–33.26 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 9.22 6.28–12.17 5.45–13.00 | 5.25 2.57–7.93 1.83–8.67 | 14.48 8.85–20.10 7.29–21.67 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 1.94 0.29–3.60 0.00–4.09 | 6.04 2.50–9.57 1.47–10.61 | 75% 13% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 3.18 1.18–5.18 0.65–5.71 | 9.21 4.99–13.42 3.89–14.53 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 53.94 47.15–60.73 45.48–62.40 | 46.10 39.32–52.89 37.64–54.56 | — | 66% 30% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 355–526 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 809 675–943 640–978 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.48 64.45–72.50 63.15–73.80 | 65.85 61.52–70.17 60.21–71.48 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 13.74 10.90–16.58 10.15–17.34 | 15.84 12.89–18.78 12.14–19.53 | 29.58 23.80–35.36 22.29–36.87 | 32% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.02 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.23 0.98–5.48 0.39–6.07 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.89 1.77–4.02 1.47–4.31 | 4.89 2.71–7.06 2.15–7.62 | 26% 17% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 1.83 0.39–3.27 0.01–3.65 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 5.23 2.24–8.22 1.43–9.04 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.