Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
29%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.011.202.21safe0.04–1.980.35–2.050.39–4.04safer0.00–2.230.12–2.280.00–4.52
Shots on target
27%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.934.006.92safe1.06–4.792.25–5.743.32–10.53safer0.57–5.281.79–6.212.36–11.48
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9312.7121.64safe5.01–12.869.15–16.2714.15–29.13safer3.92–13.958.19–17.2312.10–31.18
Shots in box
27%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction5.987.7513.73safe3.04–8.925.07–10.438.11–19.35safer2.21–9.754.33–11.176.54–20.92
Blocked shots
30%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.536.23safe0.82–4.591.88–5.182.70–9.77safer0.28–5.131.38–5.671.66–10.80
Corners
29%
13%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.734.798.53safe1.52–5.952.79–6.794.31–12.74safer0.94–6.522.26–7.333.21–13.85
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction49.4452.30safe42.65–56.2345.52–59.09safer40.98–57.9043.85–60.76
Passes
50%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction408407815safe340–475341–473681–948safer322–493323–491645–984
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction64.1970.12safe60.16–68.2265.80–74.45safer58.87–69.5164.49–75.76
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6314.1629.79safe12.79–18.4611.21–17.1024.00–35.57safer12.03–19.2210.47–17.8522.50–37.07
Offsides
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.473.36safe0.74–3.060.37–2.561.11–5.62safer0.44–3.360.08–2.850.52–6.21
Yellow cards
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.274.90safe1.58–3.681.14–3.402.72–7.08safer1.31–3.940.85–3.692.17–7.64
Red cards
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.160.110.27safe0.00–0.320.00–0.290.00–0.62safer0.00–0.470.00–0.430.00–0.90
GK saves
52%
18%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction2.852.205.05safe1.41–4.290.65–3.762.06–8.05safer1.03–4.670.22–4.191.25–8.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 1.20 0.35–2.05 0.12–2.28 | 2.21 0.39–4.04 0.00–4.52 | 31% 29% 40% |
| Shots on target | 2.93 1.06–4.79 0.57–5.28 | 4.00 2.25–5.74 1.79–6.21 | 6.92 3.32–10.53 2.36–11.48 | 27% 14% 58% |
| Total shots | 8.93 5.01–12.86 3.92–13.95 | 12.71 9.15–16.27 8.19–17.23 | 21.64 14.15–29.13 12.10–31.18 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 5.98 3.04–8.92 2.21–9.75 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 13.73 8.11–19.35 6.54–20.92 | 27% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 2.70 0.82–4.59 0.28–5.13 | 3.53 1.88–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 6.23 2.70–9.77 1.66–10.80 | 30% 16% 55% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.52–5.95 0.94–6.52 | 4.79 2.79–6.79 2.26–7.33 | 8.53 4.31–12.74 3.21–13.85 | 29% 13% 58% |
| Possession % | 49.44 42.65–56.23 40.98–57.90 | 52.30 45.52–59.09 43.85–60.76 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 408 340–475 322–493 | 407 341–473 323–491 | 815 681–948 645–984 | 50% 50% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.19 60.16–68.22 58.87–69.51 | 70.12 65.80–74.45 64.49–75.76 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 15.63 12.79–18.46 12.03–19.22 | 14.16 11.21–17.10 10.47–17.85 | 29.79 24.00–35.57 22.50–37.07 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.47 0.37–2.56 0.08–2.85 | 3.36 1.11–5.62 0.52–6.21 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 2.63 1.58–3.68 1.31–3.94 | 2.27 1.14–3.40 0.85–3.69 | 4.90 2.72–7.08 2.17–7.64 | 47% 18% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.16 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.47 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 13% 78% |
| GK saves | 2.85 1.41–4.29 1.03–4.67 | 2.20 0.65–3.76 0.22–4.19 | 5.05 2.06–8.05 1.25–8.86 | 52% 18% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.