La Liga·Regular Season - 10·
La Liga·Regular Season - 10·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
21%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.033.13safe0.13–2.071.17–2.881.30–4.95safer0.00–2.320.94–3.110.82–5.43
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.735.829.55safe1.87–5.594.08–7.565.95–13.16safer1.38–6.083.61–8.034.99–14.11
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4515.6427.09safe7.53–15.3812.07–19.2019.60–34.57safer6.43–16.4711.11–20.1617.55–36.62
Shots in box
17%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3310.8218.15safe4.39–10.278.14–13.5012.53–23.77safer3.56–11.107.40–14.2410.96–25.34
Blocked shots
24%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction3.414.918.32safe1.53–5.293.26–6.564.79–11.86safer0.99–5.842.77–7.063.75–12.89
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.349.96safe2.41–6.833.34–7.345.74–14.17safer1.83–7.412.80–7.874.64–15.28
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction44.3157.93safe37.52–51.1151.14–64.71safer35.85–52.7749.47–66.38
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction404543948safe337–472477–610814–1082safer319–490459–627778–1117
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction64.7977.68safe60.76–68.8273.36–82.01safer59.47–70.1172.05–83.32
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8512.4524.31safe9.01–14.699.51–15.4018.52–30.09safer8.26–15.458.76–16.1517.02–31.59
Offsides
27%
20%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.273.84safe0.41–2.731.18–3.361.59–6.10safer0.11–3.040.89–3.651.00–6.69
Yellow cards
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.004.13safe1.07–3.170.87–3.131.95–6.30safer0.81–3.440.58–3.421.39–6.86
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.726.48safe2.33–5.201.16–4.273.49–9.47safer1.94–5.590.74–4.702.68–10.29
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.03 1.17–2.88 0.94–3.11 | 3.13 1.30–4.95 0.82–5.43 | 20% 21% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.73 1.87–5.59 1.38–6.08 | 5.82 4.08–7.56 3.61–8.03 | 9.55 5.95–13.16 4.99–14.11 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.45 7.53–15.38 6.43–16.47 | 15.64 12.07–19.20 11.11–20.16 | 27.09 19.60–34.57 17.55–36.62 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 7.33 4.39–10.27 3.56–11.10 | 10.82 8.14–13.50 7.40–14.24 | 18.15 12.53–23.77 10.96–25.34 | 17% 76% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.99–5.84 | 4.91 3.26–6.56 2.77–7.06 | 8.32 4.79–11.86 3.75–12.89 | 24% 63% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.83 1.83–7.41 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.80–7.87 | 9.96 5.74–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 44.31 37.52–51.11 35.85–52.77 | 57.93 51.14–64.71 49.47–66.38 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 404 337–472 319–490 | 543 477–610 459–627 | 948 814–1082 778–1117 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.79 60.76–68.82 59.47–70.11 | 77.68 73.36–82.01 72.05–83.32 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.85 9.01–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 12.45 9.51–15.40 8.76–16.15 | 24.31 18.52–30.09 17.02–31.59 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.04 | 2.27 1.18–3.36 0.89–3.65 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.69 | 27% 20% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.17 0.81–3.44 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.72 1.16–4.27 0.74–4.70 | 6.48 3.49–9.47 2.68–10.29 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+