La Liga·Regular Season - 25·
La Liga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.080.902.98safe1.12–3.050.04–1.751.16–4.80safer0.86–3.300.00–1.980.68–5.28
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.513.069.57safe4.65–8.371.32–4.805.97–13.18safer4.16–8.860.85–5.275.01–14.13
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.309.4827.78safe14.38–22.235.92–13.0420.29–35.27safer13.29–23.324.96–14.0018.24–37.32
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.466.3018.76safe9.52–15.403.62–8.9813.14–24.38safer8.69–16.232.88–9.7211.57–25.95
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.112.617.73safe3.23–6.990.96–4.274.19–11.26safer2.69–7.540.47–4.763.16–12.30
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.603.5310.14safe4.39–8.821.53–5.535.92–14.35safer3.82–9.391.00–6.074.82–15.46
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.2339.09safe53.44–67.0232.31–45.88safer51.77–68.6930.64–47.55
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction589367956safe521–656301–434822–1090safer503–674284–451787–1126
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.7968.17safe72.76–80.8263.85–72.49safer71.47–82.1162.54–73.80
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2211.9023.12safe8.38–14.068.95–14.8417.33–28.90safer7.62–14.818.21–15.5915.83–30.40
Offsides
58%
19%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.391.463.85safe1.23–3.550.36–2.551.60–6.10safer0.93–3.850.08–2.841.01–6.69
Yellow cards
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.173.67safe0.45–2.551.04–3.301.49–5.85safer0.18–2.810.75–3.590.93–6.40
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.184.066.24safe0.74–3.612.51–5.623.25–9.23safer0.35–4.002.08–6.042.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.08 1.12–3.05 0.86–3.30 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 65% 20% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.51 4.65–8.37 4.16–8.86 | 3.06 1.32–4.80 0.85–5.27 | 9.57 5.97–13.18 5.01–14.13 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.30 14.38–22.23 13.29–23.32 | 9.48 5.92–13.04 4.96–14.00 | 27.78 20.29–35.27 18.24–37.32 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.46 9.52–15.40 8.69–16.23 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.72 | 18.76 13.14–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 5.11 3.23–6.99 2.69–7.54 | 2.61 0.96–4.27 0.47–4.76 | 7.73 4.19–11.26 3.16–12.30 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.60 4.39–8.82 3.82–9.39 | 3.53 1.53–5.53 1.00–6.07 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 79% |
| Possession % | 60.23 53.44–67.02 51.77–68.69 | 39.09 32.31–45.88 30.64–47.55 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 589 521–656 503–674 | 367 301–434 284–451 | 956 822–1090 787–1126 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.79 72.76–80.82 71.47–82.11 | 68.17 63.85–72.49 62.54–73.80 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.38–14.06 7.62–14.81 | 11.90 8.95–14.84 8.21–15.59 | 23.12 17.33–28.90 15.83–30.40 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.39 1.23–3.55 0.93–3.85 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.85 1.60–6.10 1.01–6.69 | 58% 19% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 2.17 1.04–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.40 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 4.06 2.51–5.62 2.08–6.04 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.05 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.