Predicted match statistics
Goals
89%
homeawaytotalprediction3.460.594.06safe2.50–4.430.00–1.452.24–5.88safer2.25–4.680.00–1.681.76–6.36
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.392.2710.66safe6.53–10.260.52–4.017.06–14.27safer6.04–10.750.06–4.486.10–15.22
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction20.436.2026.62safe16.50–24.352.64–9.7619.14–34.11safer15.41–25.441.68–10.7217.09–36.16
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.214.1918.39safe11.26–17.151.51–6.8712.77–24.02safer10.43–17.980.77–7.6011.20–25.58
Blocked shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5.121.216.33safe3.24–7.000.00–2.872.80–9.87safer2.69–7.550.00–3.361.76–10.90
Corners
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.362.2810.65safe6.15–10.580.28–4.286.43–14.86safer5.58–11.150.00–4.825.33–15.97
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction76.2022.15safe69.41–82.9915.37–28.94safer67.74–84.6613.70–30.61
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7942361030safe727–862169–302896–1164safer709–880152–320861–1199
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction83.9863.09safe79.95–88.0158.76–67.41safer78.66–89.3057.45–68.72
Fouls
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2912.8922.19safe6.46–12.139.95–15.8416.41–27.97safer5.70–12.899.20–16.5914.90–29.47
Offsides
26%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.563.626.19safe1.40–3.722.53–4.723.93–8.44safer1.10–4.022.24–5.013.34–9.03
Yellow cards
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.222.193.41safe0.17–2.271.07–3.321.23–5.59safer0.00–2.530.77–3.610.67–6.15
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction1.724.956.68safe0.29–3.163.40–6.513.68–9.67safer0.00–3.552.97–6.932.87–10.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.46 2.50–4.43 2.25–4.68 | 0.59 0.00–1.45 0.00–1.68 | 4.06 2.24–5.88 1.76–6.36 | 89% |
| Shots on target | 8.39 6.53–10.26 6.04–10.75 | 2.27 0.52–4.01 0.06–4.48 | 10.66 7.06–14.27 6.10–15.22 | 96% |
| Total shots | 20.43 16.50–24.35 15.41–25.44 | 6.20 2.64–9.76 1.68–10.72 | 26.62 19.14–34.11 17.09–36.16 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.21 11.26–17.15 10.43–17.98 | 4.19 1.51–6.87 0.77–7.60 | 18.39 12.77–24.02 11.20–25.58 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.12 3.24–7.00 2.69–7.55 | 1.21 0.00–2.87 0.00–3.36 | 6.33 2.80–9.87 1.76–10.90 | 92% |
| Corners | 8.36 6.15–10.58 5.58–11.15 | 2.28 0.28–4.28 0.00–4.82 | 10.65 6.43–14.86 5.33–15.97 | 96% |
| Possession % | 76.20 69.41–82.99 67.74–84.66 | 22.15 15.37–28.94 13.70–30.61 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 794 727–862 709–880 | 236 169–302 152–320 | 1030 896–1164 861–1199 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.98 79.95–88.01 78.66–89.30 | 63.09 58.76–67.41 57.45–68.72 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 9.29 6.46–12.13 5.70–12.89 | 12.89 9.95–15.84 9.20–16.59 | 22.19 16.41–27.97 14.90–29.47 | 19% 75% |
| Offsides | 2.56 1.40–3.72 1.10–4.02 | 3.62 2.53–4.72 2.24–5.01 | 6.19 3.93–8.44 3.34–9.03 | 26% 15% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.22 0.17–2.27 0.00–2.53 | 2.19 1.07–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.67–6.15 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.72 0.29–3.16 0.00–3.55 | 4.95 3.40–6.51 2.97–6.93 | 6.68 3.68–9.67 2.87–10.48 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.