Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.732.493.22safe0.00–1.701.63–3.341.39–5.04safer0.00–1.951.40–3.570.91–5.52
Shots on target
90%
homeawaytotalprediction2.597.019.61safe0.73–4.465.27–8.766.00–13.21safer0.24–4.954.80–9.225.05–14.17
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.1517.4525.60safe4.23–12.0813.89–21.0118.11–33.09safer3.13–13.1712.93–21.9716.06–35.14
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.1312.4117.54safe2.19–8.079.73–15.1011.92–23.17safer1.36–8.909.00–15.8310.35–24.73
Blocked shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction1.645.196.83safe0.00–3.523.54–6.843.30–10.37safer0.00–4.073.05–7.342.26–11.40
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction2.776.669.43safe0.56–4.994.66–8.665.22–13.64safer0.00–5.564.12–9.194.11–14.75
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction23.2877.36safe16.49–30.0770.57–84.14safer14.82–31.7468.90–85.82
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction237757994safe170–304690–823860–1127safer152–322673–841824–1163
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction57.4584.89safe53.42–61.4880.57–89.22safer52.13–62.7879.26–90.53
Fouls
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction13.489.2022.68safe10.64–16.316.26–12.1516.90–28.46safer9.88–17.075.51–12.9015.39–29.97
Offsides
67%
13%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.356.35safe2.84–5.161.26–3.444.10–8.60safer2.54–5.460.97–3.733.51–9.19
Yellow cards
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.311.683.99safe1.26–3.360.55–2.811.81–6.17safer0.99–3.620.26–3.101.25–6.73
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.401.956.34safe2.96–5.830.39–3.503.35–9.33safer2.57–6.220.00–3.932.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.73 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.95 | 2.49 1.63–3.34 1.40–3.57 | 3.22 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 15% 76% |
| Shots on target | 2.59 0.73–4.46 0.24–4.95 | 7.01 5.27–8.76 4.80–9.22 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 90% |
| Total shots | 8.15 4.23–12.08 3.13–13.17 | 17.45 13.89–21.01 12.93–21.97 | 25.60 18.11–33.09 16.06–35.14 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 5.13 2.19–8.07 1.36–8.90 | 12.41 9.73–15.10 9.00–15.83 | 17.54 11.92–23.17 10.35–24.73 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 1.64 0.00–3.52 0.00–4.07 | 5.19 3.54–6.84 3.05–7.34 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 88% |
| Corners | 2.77 0.56–4.99 0.00–5.56 | 6.66 4.66–8.66 4.12–9.19 | 9.43 5.22–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 87% |
| Possession % | 23.28 16.49–30.07 14.82–31.74 | 77.36 70.57–84.14 68.90–85.82 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 237 170–304 152–322 | 757 690–823 673–841 | 994 860–1127 824–1163 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 57.45 53.42–61.48 52.13–62.78 | 84.89 80.57–89.22 79.26–90.53 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 13.48 10.64–16.31 9.88–17.07 | 9.20 6.26–12.15 5.51–12.90 | 22.68 16.90–28.46 15.39–29.97 | 79% 16% |
| Offsides | 4.00 2.84–5.16 2.54–5.46 | 2.35 1.26–3.44 0.97–3.73 | 6.35 4.10–8.60 3.51–9.19 | 67% 13% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.31 1.26–3.36 0.99–3.62 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.99 1.81–6.17 1.25–6.73 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.40 2.96–5.83 2.57–6.22 | 1.95 0.39–3.50 0.00–3.93 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.54–10.15 | 78% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.