La Liga·Regular Season - 11·
La Liga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.790.773.56safe1.82–3.760.00–1.631.74–5.39safer1.57–4.010.00–1.861.26–5.87
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.443.0610.50safe5.58–9.301.31–4.806.89–14.10safer5.09–9.790.85–5.265.94–15.06
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction20.378.5328.90safe16.45–24.304.97–12.0921.41–36.39safer15.35–25.394.01–13.0519.36–38.44
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction13.045.5818.62safe10.10–15.982.90–8.2612.99–24.24safer9.27–16.812.16–9.0011.43–25.81
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.502.207.70safe3.62–7.380.55–3.864.17–11.24safer3.07–7.930.06–4.353.13–12.27
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.973.4410.41safe4.76–9.191.44–5.446.19–14.62safer4.19–9.760.90–5.975.09–15.73
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.3038.43safe54.51–68.0931.64–45.21safer52.84–69.7629.97–46.88
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6173861003safe550–685319–452869–1137safer532–703302–470834–1172
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction76.6469.09safe72.61–80.6764.77–73.41safer71.32–81.9663.46–74.72
Fouls
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3513.7124.06safe7.51–13.1910.77–16.6618.28–29.84safer6.76–13.9410.02–17.4016.78–31.35
Offsides
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.484.27safe0.63–2.951.39–3.582.02–6.53safer0.33–3.251.10–3.861.43–7.12
Yellow cards
14%
16%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.112.633.74safe0.06–2.161.50–3.761.56–5.92safer0.00–2.421.21–4.051.00–6.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.140.18safe0.00–0.200.00–0.330.00–0.53safer0.00–0.350.00–0.460.00–0.81
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.265.067.33safe0.83–3.703.51–6.624.33–10.32safer0.44–4.093.08–7.053.52–11.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.79 1.82–3.76 1.57–4.01 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.86 | 3.56 1.74–5.39 1.26–5.87 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 7.44 5.58–9.30 5.09–9.79 | 3.06 1.31–4.80 0.85–5.26 | 10.50 6.89–14.10 5.94–15.06 | 89% |
| Total shots | 20.37 16.45–24.30 15.35–25.39 | 8.53 4.97–12.09 4.01–13.05 | 28.90 21.41–36.39 19.36–38.44 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 13.04 10.10–15.98 9.27–16.81 | 5.58 2.90–8.26 2.16–9.00 | 18.62 12.99–24.24 11.43–25.81 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.50 3.62–7.38 3.07–7.93 | 2.20 0.55–3.86 0.06–4.35 | 7.70 4.17–11.24 3.13–12.27 | 85% |
| Corners | 6.97 4.76–9.19 4.19–9.76 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.90–5.97 | 10.41 6.19–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 83% |
| Possession % | 61.30 54.51–68.09 52.84–69.76 | 38.43 31.64–45.21 29.97–46.88 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 617 550–685 532–703 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 1003 869–1137 834–1172 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.64 72.61–80.67 71.32–81.96 | 69.09 64.77–73.41 63.46–74.72 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.51–13.19 6.76–13.94 | 13.71 10.77–16.66 10.02–17.40 | 24.06 18.28–29.84 16.78–31.35 | 21% 72% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 2.48 1.39–3.58 1.10–3.86 | 4.27 2.02–6.53 1.43–7.12 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 1.11 0.06–2.16 0.00–2.42 | 2.63 1.50–3.76 1.21–4.05 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.48 | 14% 16% 70% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 5.06 3.51–6.62 3.08–7.05 | 7.33 4.33–10.32 3.52–11.13 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+