La Liga·Regular Season - 25·
La Liga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction0.842.633.47safe0.00–1.811.78–3.491.65–5.29safer0.00–2.061.55–3.721.17–5.77
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.437.3010.73safe1.57–5.305.56–9.047.13–14.34safer1.08–5.795.09–9.516.17–15.29
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0918.1629.25safe7.17–15.0214.59–21.7221.76–36.74safer6.08–16.1113.63–22.6819.71–38.79
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.8511.4918.33safe3.91–9.798.81–14.1712.71–23.96safer3.08–10.628.07–14.9111.14–25.52
Blocked shots
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.834.917.74safe0.95–4.723.26–6.564.21–11.28safer0.41–5.262.76–7.053.17–12.31
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.6310.07safe2.23–6.663.63–7.635.86–14.29safer1.66–7.233.10–8.164.75–15.40
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction40.4360.16safe33.64–47.2253.37–66.94safer31.97–48.8951.70–68.61
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction397570967safe330–464503–636833–1100safer311–482486–654797–1136
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction65.2676.92safe61.24–69.2972.60–81.24safer59.94–70.5971.29–82.55
Fouls
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5110.3623.87safe10.67–16.347.42–13.3118.09–29.65safer9.91–17.106.67–14.0616.58–31.16
Offsides
56%
18%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.681.844.52safe1.52–3.840.75–2.942.27–6.78safer1.22–4.140.46–3.221.68–7.37
Yellow cards
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.613.66safe1.00–3.100.48–2.741.48–5.84safer0.73–3.360.19–3.030.92–6.40
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.54safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.737.08safe2.91–5.781.18–4.294.09–10.07safer2.52–6.170.75–4.723.28–10.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.84 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.06 | 2.63 1.78–3.49 1.55–3.72 | 3.47 1.65–5.29 1.17–5.77 | 15% 76% |
| Shots on target | 3.43 1.57–5.30 1.08–5.79 | 7.30 5.56–9.04 5.09–9.51 | 10.73 7.13–14.34 6.17–15.29 | 85% |
| Total shots | 11.09 7.17–15.02 6.08–16.11 | 18.16 14.59–21.72 13.63–22.68 | 29.25 21.76–36.74 19.71–38.79 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.85 3.91–9.79 3.08–10.62 | 11.49 8.81–14.17 8.07–14.91 | 18.33 12.71–23.96 11.14–25.52 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.95–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 4.91 3.26–6.56 2.76–7.05 | 7.74 4.21–11.28 3.17–12.31 | 17% 71% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.23–6.66 1.66–7.23 | 5.63 3.63–7.63 3.10–8.16 | 10.07 5.86–14.29 4.75–15.40 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 40.43 33.64–47.22 31.97–48.89 | 60.16 53.37–66.94 51.70–68.61 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 397 330–464 311–482 | 570 503–636 486–654 | 967 833–1100 797–1136 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.26 61.24–69.29 59.94–70.59 | 76.92 72.60–81.24 71.29–82.55 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 13.51 10.67–16.34 9.91–17.10 | 10.36 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.06 | 23.87 18.09–29.65 16.58–31.16 | 71% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.68 1.52–3.84 1.22–4.14 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 4.52 2.27–6.78 1.68–7.37 | 56% 18% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.66 1.48–5.84 0.92–6.40 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.35 2.91–5.78 2.52–6.17 | 2.73 1.18–4.29 0.75–4.72 | 7.08 4.09–10.07 3.28–10.88 | 66% 21% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.