Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
25%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.052.64safe0.62–2.560.20–1.910.82–4.47safer0.37–2.810.00–2.140.34–4.95
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.858.89safe3.18–6.912.10–5.595.29–12.50safer2.70–7.401.64–6.054.33–13.45
Total shots
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8910.6225.51safe10.96–18.817.06–14.1818.02–32.99safer9.87–19.906.10–15.1415.97–35.05
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.326.9216.24safe6.38–12.274.24–9.6010.62–21.87safer5.55–13.103.50–10.349.05–23.43
Blocked shots
66%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.436.45safe2.14–5.900.78–4.092.92–9.99safer1.59–6.440.29–4.581.88–11.02
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.574.219.78safe3.35–7.782.21–6.215.57–14.00safer2.78–8.361.68–6.754.46–15.10
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction56.3144.06safe49.52–63.1037.28–50.85safer47.85–64.7735.61–52.52
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction519389908safe452–587322–455774–1042safer434–605305–473739–1077
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction69.1066.83safe65.07–73.1362.50–71.15safer63.78–74.4261.19–72.46
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1513.7825.92safe9.31–14.9810.83–16.7220.14–31.71safer8.55–15.7410.08–17.4718.64–33.21
Offsides
25%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.003.025.02safe0.84–3.161.93–4.112.77–7.28safer0.54–3.461.64–4.402.18–7.87
Yellow cards
35%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.302.614.91safe1.25–3.351.48–3.742.73–7.09safer0.99–3.621.19–4.032.17–7.64
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.330.00–0.62safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.453.545.99safe1.01–3.881.99–5.103.00–8.98safer0.62–4.271.56–5.522.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.05 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 50% 25% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.05 3.18–6.91 2.70–7.40 | 3.85 2.10–5.59 1.64–6.05 | 8.89 5.29–12.50 4.33–13.45 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.89 10.96–18.81 9.87–19.90 | 10.62 7.06–14.18 6.10–15.14 | 25.51 18.02–32.99 15.97–35.05 | 77% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.32 6.38–12.27 5.55–13.10 | 6.92 4.24–9.60 3.50–10.34 | 16.24 10.62–21.87 9.05–23.43 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 2.43 0.78–4.09 0.29–4.58 | 6.45 2.92–9.99 1.88–11.02 | 66% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 5.57 3.35–7.78 2.78–8.36 | 4.21 2.21–6.21 1.68–6.75 | 9.78 5.57–14.00 4.46–15.10 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 56.31 49.52–63.10 47.85–64.77 | 44.06 37.28–50.85 35.61–52.52 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 519 452–587 434–605 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.10 65.07–73.13 63.78–74.42 | 66.83 62.50–71.15 61.19–72.46 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 12.15 9.31–14.98 8.55–15.74 | 13.78 10.83–16.72 10.08–17.47 | 25.92 20.14–31.71 18.64–33.21 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.00 0.84–3.16 0.54–3.46 | 3.02 1.93–4.11 1.64–4.40 | 5.02 2.77–7.28 2.18–7.87 | 25% 17% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 2.30 1.25–3.35 0.99–3.62 | 2.61 1.48–3.74 1.19–4.03 | 4.91 2.73–7.09 2.17–7.64 | 35% 18% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.62 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 3.54 1.99–5.10 1.56–5.52 | 5.99 3.00–8.98 2.18–9.79 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.