Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
30%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.092.11safe0.05–1.990.23–1.940.28–3.93safer0.00–2.240.01–2.170.00–4.41
Shots on target
41%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.607.12safe1.66–5.391.85–5.343.51–10.72safer1.17–5.881.39–5.802.56–11.68
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6211.6424.25safe8.69–16.548.08–15.2016.77–31.74safer7.60–17.637.12–16.1614.72–33.79
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.217.3814.60safe4.27–10.164.70–10.078.97–20.22safer3.44–10.993.97–10.807.41–21.79
Blocked shots
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.053.326.37safe1.17–4.931.67–4.972.83–9.90safer0.62–5.471.17–5.461.80–10.94
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.809.46safe2.45–6.872.80–6.805.24–13.67safer1.87–7.452.26–7.334.13–14.78
Possession %
33%
63%
homeawayprediction46.6753.14safe39.88–53.4646.35–59.92safer38.21–55.1344.68–61.59
Passes
35%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction368414782safe301–435347–480648–916safer283–453330–498613–951
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction62.2469.54safe58.21–66.2765.22–73.86safer56.92–67.5663.91–75.17
Fouls
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1114.3429.44safe12.27–17.9411.39–17.2823.66–35.23safer11.51–18.7010.65–18.0322.16–36.73
Offsides
45%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.543.37safe0.67–2.990.45–2.641.12–5.63safer0.37–3.290.16–2.920.53–6.22
Yellow cards
44%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.415.00safe1.53–3.631.28–3.542.82–7.17safer1.27–3.900.99–3.832.26–7.73
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.140.27safe0.00–0.290.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.460.00–0.90
GK saves
46%
18%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.425.13safe1.27–4.140.87–3.982.13–8.12safer0.88–4.530.44–4.401.32–8.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.99 0.00–2.24 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.01–2.17 | 2.11 0.28–3.93 0.00–4.41 | 33% 30% 37% |
| Shots on target | 3.52 1.66–5.39 1.17–5.88 | 3.60 1.85–5.34 1.39–5.80 | 7.12 3.51–10.72 2.56–11.68 | 41% 15% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.69–16.54 7.60–17.63 | 11.64 8.08–15.20 7.12–16.16 | 24.25 16.77–31.74 14.72–33.79 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 7.21 4.27–10.16 3.44–10.99 | 7.38 4.70–10.07 3.97–10.80 | 14.60 8.97–20.22 7.41–21.79 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.05 1.17–4.93 0.62–5.47 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 6.37 2.83–9.90 1.80–10.94 | 38% 16% 46% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.45–6.87 1.87–7.45 | 4.80 2.80–6.80 2.26–7.33 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.13–14.78 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 46.67 39.88–53.46 38.21–55.13 | 53.14 46.35–59.92 44.68–61.59 | — | 33% 63% |
| Passes | 368 301–435 283–453 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 782 648–916 613–951 | 35% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.24 58.21–66.27 56.92–67.56 | 69.54 65.22–73.86 63.91–75.17 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 15.11 12.27–17.94 11.51–18.70 | 14.34 11.39–17.28 10.65–18.03 | 29.44 23.66–35.23 22.16–36.73 | 52% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 45% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 2.58 1.53–3.63 1.27–3.90 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 5.00 2.82–7.17 2.26–7.73 | 44% 18% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.27 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.90 | 78% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.42 0.87–3.98 0.44–4.40 | 5.13 2.13–8.12 1.32–8.93 | 46% 18% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.