Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
28%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.350.962.31safe0.38–2.320.11–1.810.49–4.14safer0.13–2.570.00–2.040.01–4.62
Shots on target
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.563.347.90safe2.70–6.421.60–5.084.30–11.51safer2.21–6.911.13–5.553.34–12.46
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.559.9224.47safe10.63–18.486.36–13.4816.98–31.96safer9.54–19.575.40–14.4414.93–34.01
Shots in box
72%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction8.846.0914.93safe5.90–11.783.41–8.779.31–20.55safer5.07–12.612.68–9.517.74–22.12
Blocked shots
63%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.822.446.26safe1.94–5.700.79–4.102.73–9.80safer1.39–6.240.30–4.591.69–10.83
Corners
71%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction5.693.479.16safe3.48–7.901.47–5.474.95–13.38safer2.90–8.480.94–6.013.84–14.48
Possession %
75%
22%
homeawayprediction55.9143.74safe49.12–62.7036.95–50.52safer47.45–64.3735.28–52.19
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction453332785safe386–520265–398651–918safer368–538248–416615–954
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction68.2565.58safe64.22–72.2861.26–69.91safer62.93–73.5759.95–71.22
Fouls
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9915.9228.91safe10.15–15.8312.97–18.8623.13–34.69safer9.40–16.5812.22–19.6121.62–36.20
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.603.26safe0.50–2.830.51–2.691.01–5.52safer0.20–3.130.22–2.980.42–6.11
Yellow cards
32%
19%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.434.42safe0.94–3.041.30–3.562.25–6.60safer0.68–3.311.01–3.851.69–7.16
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.140.23safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.460.00–0.86
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.215.38safe0.74–3.611.65–4.762.39–8.37safer0.35–4.001.23–5.191.58–9.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.32 0.13–2.57 | 0.96 0.11–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.31 0.49–4.14 0.01–4.62 | 46% 28% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.56 2.70–6.42 2.21–6.91 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 7.90 4.30–11.51 3.34–12.46 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.55 10.63–18.48 9.54–19.57 | 9.92 6.36–13.48 5.40–14.44 | 24.47 16.98–31.96 14.93–34.01 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.90–11.78 5.07–12.61 | 6.09 3.41–8.77 2.68–9.51 | 14.93 9.31–20.55 7.74–22.12 | 72% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 2.44 0.79–4.10 0.30–4.59 | 6.26 2.73–9.80 1.69–10.83 | 63% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 5.69 3.48–7.90 2.90–8.48 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.94–6.01 | 9.16 4.95–13.38 3.84–14.48 | 71% 18% |
| Possession % | 55.91 49.12–62.70 47.45–64.37 | 43.74 36.95–50.52 35.28–52.19 | — | 75% 22% |
| Passes | 453 386–520 368–538 | 332 265–398 248–416 | 785 651–918 615–954 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.25 64.22–72.28 62.93–73.57 | 65.58 61.26–69.91 59.95–71.22 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 12.99 10.15–15.83 9.40–16.58 | 15.92 12.97–18.86 12.22–19.61 | 28.91 23.13–34.69 21.62–36.20 | 26% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.50–2.83 0.20–3.13 | 1.60 0.51–2.69 0.22–2.98 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.43 1.30–3.56 1.01–3.85 | 4.42 2.25–6.60 1.69–7.16 | 32% 19% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.46 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.21 1.65–4.76 1.23–5.19 | 5.38 2.39–8.37 1.58–9.19 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+