La Liga·Regular Season - 11·
La Liga·Regular Season - 11·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
19%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.862.223.07safe0.00–1.821.36–3.071.25–4.90safer0.00–2.081.14–3.300.77–5.38
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction2.726.108.82safe0.86–4.584.36–7.845.22–12.43safer0.37–5.073.89–8.314.26–13.38
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7316.0325.76safe5.81–13.6612.47–19.5918.28–33.25safer4.72–14.7511.51–20.5516.23–35.30
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.2111.1516.35safe2.26–8.158.47–13.8310.73–21.98safer1.43–8.987.73–14.579.16–23.54
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.624.467.09safe0.74–4.512.81–6.123.55–10.62safer0.20–5.052.32–6.612.52–11.66
Corners
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.566.009.55safe1.34–5.774.00–8.005.34–13.77safer0.77–6.343.46–8.534.23–14.87
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.6661.61safe32.87–46.4554.83–68.40safer31.20–48.1253.16–70.07
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction381579960safe314–449512–645826–1094safer296–467495–663791–1129
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction65.4479.62safe61.41–69.4775.30–83.95safer60.12–70.7673.99–85.25
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7211.5522.28safe7.88–13.568.61–14.5016.49–28.06safer7.13–14.327.86–15.2514.99–29.56
Offsides
22%
18%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.564.10safe0.38–2.701.47–3.651.84–6.35safer0.08–3.001.18–3.941.25–6.94
Yellow cards
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.923.71safe0.73–2.830.80–3.051.53–5.89safer0.47–3.100.50–3.340.97–6.44
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
69%
13%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.105.94safe2.40–5.280.54–3.662.95–8.93safer2.02–5.660.12–4.082.14–9.74
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.86 0.00–1.82 0.00–2.08 | 2.22 1.36–3.07 1.14–3.30 | 3.07 1.25–4.90 0.77–5.38 | 13% 19% 68% |
| Shots on target | 2.72 0.86–4.58 0.37–5.07 | 6.10 4.36–7.84 3.89–8.31 | 8.82 5.22–12.43 4.26–13.38 | 84% |
| Total shots | 9.73 5.81–13.66 4.72–14.75 | 16.03 12.47–19.59 11.51–20.55 | 25.76 18.28–33.25 16.23–35.30 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 5.21 2.26–8.15 1.43–8.98 | 11.15 8.47–13.83 7.73–14.57 | 16.35 10.73–21.98 9.16–23.54 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 2.62 0.74–4.51 0.20–5.05 | 4.46 2.81–6.12 2.32–6.61 | 7.09 3.55–10.62 2.52–11.66 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.56 1.34–5.77 0.77–6.34 | 6.00 4.00–8.00 3.46–8.53 | 9.55 5.34–13.77 4.23–14.87 | 17% 74% |
| Possession % | 39.66 32.87–46.45 31.20–48.12 | 61.61 54.83–68.40 53.16–70.07 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 381 314–449 296–467 | 579 512–645 495–663 | 960 826–1094 791–1129 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.44 61.41–69.47 60.12–70.76 | 79.62 75.30–83.95 73.99–85.25 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 10.72 7.88–13.56 7.13–14.32 | 11.55 8.61–14.50 7.86–15.25 | 22.28 16.49–28.06 14.99–29.56 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.56 1.47–3.65 1.18–3.94 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 22% 18% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.47–3.10 | 1.92 0.80–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.84 2.40–5.28 2.02–5.66 | 2.10 0.54–3.66 0.12–4.08 | 5.94 2.95–8.93 2.14–9.74 | 69% 13% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.