La Liga·Regular Season - 31·
La Liga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.400.813.21safe1.43–3.370.00–1.671.39–5.04safer1.18–3.620.00–1.900.91–5.52
Shots on target
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.902.919.81safe5.04–8.771.17–4.656.21–13.42safer4.55–9.260.70–5.125.25–14.37
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.248.9427.17safe14.31–22.165.37–12.5019.69–34.66safer13.22–23.254.41–13.4617.63–36.71
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.785.4318.21safe9.84–15.722.75–8.1112.59–23.83safer9.01–16.552.01–8.8511.02–25.40
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.131.977.10safe3.24–7.010.32–3.623.56–10.63safer2.70–7.550.00–4.112.53–11.67
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.573.1710.75safe5.36–9.791.17–5.176.53–14.96safer4.79–10.360.64–5.715.43–16.07
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.5937.06safe56.80–70.3830.28–43.85safer55.13–72.0528.60–45.52
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction616360976safe549–683294–427843–1110safer531–701276–444807–1146
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction79.2169.73safe75.19–83.2465.40–74.05safer73.89–84.5464.10–75.36
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4310.5021.93safe8.59–14.267.55–13.4416.14–27.71safer7.83–15.026.81–14.1914.64–29.21
Offsides
64%
18%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.521.273.79safe1.36–3.680.18–2.371.54–6.04safer1.06–3.980.00–2.650.95–6.63
Yellow cards
32%
23%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.823.32safe0.45–2.550.69–2.951.15–5.50safer0.19–2.820.40–3.240.59–6.06
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction1.984.376.34safe0.54–3.412.81–5.923.35–9.34safer0.15–3.802.39–6.352.54–10.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.40 1.43–3.37 1.18–3.62 | 0.81 0.00–1.67 0.00–1.90 | 3.21 1.39–5.04 0.91–5.52 | 73% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.90 5.04–8.77 4.55–9.26 | 2.91 1.17–4.65 0.70–5.12 | 9.81 6.21–13.42 5.25–14.37 | 87% |
| Total shots | 18.24 14.31–22.16 13.22–23.25 | 8.94 5.37–12.50 4.41–13.46 | 27.17 19.69–34.66 17.63–36.71 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.78 9.84–15.72 9.01–16.55 | 5.43 2.75–8.11 2.01–8.85 | 18.21 12.59–23.83 11.02–25.40 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.24–7.01 2.70–7.55 | 1.97 0.32–3.62 0.00–4.11 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.57 5.36–9.79 4.79–10.36 | 3.17 1.17–5.17 0.64–5.71 | 10.75 6.53–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 89% |
| Possession % | 63.59 56.80–70.38 55.13–72.05 | 37.06 30.28–43.85 28.60–45.52 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 616 549–683 531–701 | 360 294–427 276–444 | 976 843–1110 807–1146 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.21 75.19–83.24 73.89–84.54 | 69.73 65.40–74.05 64.10–75.36 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.59–14.26 7.83–15.02 | 10.50 7.55–13.44 6.81–14.19 | 21.93 16.14–27.71 14.64–29.21 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.52 1.36–3.68 1.06–3.98 | 1.27 0.18–2.37 0.00–2.65 | 3.79 1.54–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 64% 18% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.32 1.15–5.50 0.59–6.06 | 32% 23% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.98 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 4.37 2.81–5.92 2.39–6.35 | 6.34 3.35–9.34 2.54–10.15 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.