La Liga·Regular Season - 12·
La Liga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
23%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.783.11safe0.36–2.300.93–2.641.29–4.93safer0.11–2.550.70–2.870.81–5.41
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.535.369.90safe2.67–6.393.62–7.116.29–13.50safer2.18–6.883.16–7.575.33–14.46
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0114.7726.79safe8.09–15.9411.21–18.3419.30–34.27safer7.00–17.0310.25–19.3017.25–36.33
Shots in box
33%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction8.449.7518.19safe5.50–11.387.07–12.4312.57–23.82safer4.67–12.216.34–13.1711.00–25.38
Blocked shots
25%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.954.197.14safe1.07–4.832.54–5.853.61–10.68safer0.53–5.382.05–6.342.57–11.71
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.425.319.73safe2.21–6.633.31–7.315.52–13.95safer1.63–7.212.78–7.854.41–15.05
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.2365.68safe27.44–41.0258.89–72.46safer25.77–42.6957.22–74.13
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction3636601022safe296–430593–726889–1156safer277–448576–744853–1192
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction67.3183.52safe63.29–71.3479.20–87.85safer61.99–72.6477.89–89.16
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction11.619.7721.38safe8.77–14.456.82–12.7115.59–27.16safer8.02–15.206.07–13.4614.09–28.66
Offsides
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.361.656.01safe3.20–5.520.55–2.743.75–8.26safer2.90–5.820.27–3.033.16–8.85
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.763.71safe0.90–2.990.63–2.891.53–5.89safer0.63–3.260.34–3.180.97–6.44
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.916.21safe1.86–4.741.35–4.463.21–9.20safer1.48–5.120.92–4.892.40–10.01
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.78 0.93–2.64 0.70–2.87 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 29% 23% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.53 2.67–6.39 2.18–6.88 | 5.36 3.62–7.11 3.16–7.57 | 9.90 6.29–13.50 5.33–14.46 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.01 8.09–15.94 7.00–17.03 | 14.77 11.21–18.34 10.25–19.30 | 26.79 19.30–34.27 17.25–36.33 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 8.44 5.50–11.38 4.67–12.21 | 9.75 7.07–12.43 6.34–13.17 | 18.19 12.57–23.82 11.00–25.38 | 33% 58% |
| Blocked shots | 2.95 1.07–4.83 0.53–5.38 | 4.19 2.54–5.85 2.05–6.34 | 7.14 3.61–10.68 2.57–11.71 | 25% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 4.42 2.21–6.63 1.63–7.21 | 5.31 3.31–7.31 2.78–7.85 | 9.73 5.52–13.95 4.41–15.05 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 34.23 27.44–41.02 25.77–42.69 | 65.68 58.89–72.46 57.22–74.13 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 363 296–430 277–448 | 660 593–726 576–744 | 1022 889–1156 853–1192 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.31 63.29–71.34 61.99–72.64 | 83.52 79.20–87.85 77.89–89.16 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 11.61 8.77–14.45 8.02–15.20 | 9.77 6.82–12.71 6.07–13.46 | 21.38 15.59–27.16 14.09–28.66 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 4.36 3.20–5.52 2.90–5.82 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 6.01 3.75–8.26 3.16–8.85 | 82% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.71 1.53–5.89 0.97–6.44 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.86–4.74 1.48–5.12 | 2.91 1.35–4.46 0.92–4.89 | 6.21 3.21–9.20 2.40–10.01 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.