La Liga·Regular Season - 12·
La Liga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
23%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.800.902.70safe0.83–2.770.05–1.760.88–4.53safer0.58–3.020.00–1.990.40–5.01
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.579.14safe3.71–7.441.83–5.315.54–12.75safer3.22–7.921.36–5.784.58–13.70
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9110.5326.45safe11.99–19.846.97–14.0918.96–33.93safer10.90–20.936.01–15.0516.91–35.98
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.886.9216.80safe6.94–12.824.24–9.6011.18–22.43safer6.11–13.653.50–10.349.61–23.99
Blocked shots
62%
13%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.282.937.21safe2.40–6.161.28–4.583.68–10.75safer1.86–6.710.78–5.082.64–11.78
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.153.809.95safe3.94–8.361.80–5.805.73–14.16safer3.36–8.941.26–6.334.63–15.27
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.6841.88safe51.89–65.4735.09–48.66safer50.22–67.1433.42–50.33
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction549399948safe482–616332–465814–1081safer464–634315–483778–1117
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction74.0670.37safe70.03–78.0966.05–74.69safer68.74–79.3864.74–76.00
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7311.5723.30safe8.89–14.578.63–14.5217.52–29.08safer8.14–15.327.88–15.2616.02–30.59
Offsides
65%
18%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.441.183.63safe1.28–3.600.09–2.281.37–5.88safer0.98–3.900.00–2.570.78–6.47
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.053.89safe0.80–2.890.92–3.171.71–6.07safer0.53–3.160.63–3.471.15–6.63
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
27%
15%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.643.646.28safe1.21–4.082.08–5.193.29–9.27safer0.82–4.471.65–5.622.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.80 0.83–2.77 0.58–3.02 | 0.90 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 59% 23% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.92 | 3.57 1.83–5.31 1.36–5.78 | 9.14 5.54–12.75 4.58–13.70 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.91 11.99–19.84 10.90–20.93 | 10.53 6.97–14.09 6.01–15.05 | 26.45 18.96–33.93 16.91–35.98 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 9.88 6.94–12.82 6.11–13.65 | 6.92 4.24–9.60 3.50–10.34 | 16.80 11.18–22.43 9.61–23.99 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.28 2.40–6.16 1.86–6.71 | 2.93 1.28–4.58 0.78–5.08 | 7.21 3.68–10.75 2.64–11.78 | 62% 13% 24% |
| Corners | 6.15 3.94–8.36 3.36–8.94 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.26–6.33 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 58.68 51.89–65.47 50.22–67.14 | 41.88 35.09–48.66 33.42–50.33 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 549 482–616 464–634 | 399 332–465 315–483 | 948 814–1081 778–1117 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.06 70.03–78.09 68.74–79.38 | 70.37 66.05–74.69 64.74–76.00 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 11.73 8.89–14.57 8.14–15.32 | 11.57 8.63–14.52 7.88–15.26 | 23.30 17.52–29.08 16.02–30.59 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.44 1.28–3.60 0.98–3.90 | 1.18 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 3.63 1.37–5.88 0.78–6.47 | 65% 18% 17% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.05 0.92–3.17 0.63–3.47 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.63 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.64 2.08–5.19 1.65–5.62 | 6.28 3.29–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 27% 15% 58% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+