La Liga·Regular Season - 12·
La Liga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
23%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.772.66safe0.00–1.860.91–2.620.84–4.48safer0.00–2.110.69–2.850.36–4.96
Shots on target
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.175.378.54safe1.31–5.033.63–7.124.94–12.15safer0.82–5.523.16–7.583.98–13.11
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2714.9024.17safe5.34–13.1911.34–18.4616.68–31.65safer4.25–14.2810.38–19.4214.63–33.70
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.7610.0015.76safe2.82–8.707.32–12.6810.14–21.38safer1.99–9.536.58–13.428.57–22.95
Blocked shots
19%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.564.336.90safe0.68–4.442.68–5.993.36–10.43safer0.14–4.992.19–6.482.32–11.47
Corners
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.709.42safe1.51–5.943.70–7.705.21–13.64safer0.94–6.513.17–8.234.10–14.74
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction38.9361.42safe32.14–45.7254.64–68.21safer30.47–47.3952.97–69.88
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction350541891safe283–417474–607757–1024safer264–435457–625721–1060
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction63.2577.10safe59.23–67.2872.78–81.43safer57.93–68.5871.47–82.74
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6712.8825.54safe9.83–15.519.93–15.8219.76–31.33safer9.07–16.269.18–16.5718.26–32.83
Offsides
65%
17%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.781.444.22safe1.62–3.940.35–2.541.97–6.48safer1.32–4.240.06–2.831.38–7.07
Yellow cards
45%
20%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.004.25safe1.20–3.300.87–3.132.07–6.43safer0.94–3.570.58–3.421.52–6.99
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.070.20safe0.00–0.290.00–0.260.00–0.55safer0.00–0.440.00–0.390.00–0.83
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.422.255.67safe1.98–4.860.69–3.802.68–8.66safer1.60–5.240.27–4.231.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.77 0.91–2.62 0.69–2.85 | 2.66 0.84–4.48 0.36–4.96 | 19% 23% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.17 1.31–5.03 0.82–5.52 | 5.37 3.63–7.12 3.16–7.58 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.11 | 17% 72% |
| Total shots | 9.27 5.34–13.19 4.25–14.28 | 14.90 11.34–18.46 10.38–19.42 | 24.17 16.68–31.65 14.63–33.70 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 5.76 2.82–8.70 1.99–9.53 | 10.00 7.32–12.68 6.58–13.42 | 15.76 10.14–21.38 8.57–22.95 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 2.56 0.68–4.44 0.14–4.99 | 4.33 2.68–5.99 2.19–6.48 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.47 | 19% 69% |
| Corners | 3.72 1.51–5.94 0.94–6.51 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.17–8.23 | 9.42 5.21–13.64 4.10–14.74 | 21% 68% |
| Possession % | 38.93 32.14–45.72 30.47–47.39 | 61.42 54.64–68.21 52.97–69.88 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 350 283–417 264–435 | 541 474–607 457–625 | 891 757–1024 721–1060 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.25 59.23–67.28 57.93–68.58 | 77.10 72.78–81.43 71.47–82.74 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 12.67 9.83–15.51 9.07–16.26 | 12.88 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 25.54 19.76–31.33 18.26–32.83 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.78 1.62–3.94 1.32–4.24 | 1.44 0.35–2.54 0.06–2.83 | 4.22 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 65% 17% 18% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.94–3.57 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 4.25 2.07–6.43 1.52–6.99 | 45% 20% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.42 1.98–4.86 1.60–5.24 | 2.25 0.69–3.80 0.27–4.23 | 5.67 2.68–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.