La Liga·Regular Season - 23·
La Liga·Regular Season - 23·Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction1.920.822.74safe0.95–2.890.00–1.680.92–4.56safer0.70–3.140.00–1.910.44–5.04
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction5.992.628.61safe4.12–7.850.88–4.375.01–12.22safer3.63–8.340.42–4.834.05–13.17
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction17.477.8925.35safe13.54–21.394.33–11.4517.87–32.84safer12.45–22.483.37–12.4115.82–34.89
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction11.755.2216.97safe8.81–14.692.54–7.9011.35–22.60safer7.98–15.521.81–8.649.78–24.16
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.021.796.81safe3.14–6.910.14–3.443.28–10.35safer2.60–7.450.00–3.932.24–11.38
Corners
87%
homeawaytotalprediction7.023.0010.02safe4.81–9.231.00–5.005.81–14.23safer4.23–9.810.47–5.534.70–15.34
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.1436.17safe56.35–69.9329.39–42.96safer54.68–71.6027.72–44.63
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction582330911safe514–649263–396777–1045safer496–667246–414742–1081
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction76.1666.67safe72.13–80.1862.34–70.99safer70.83–81.4861.04–72.30
Fouls
44%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5612.8725.43safe9.72–15.399.93–15.8219.65–31.21safer8.96–16.159.18–16.5718.14–32.72
Offsides
18%
17%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.814.30safe0.33–2.651.72–3.902.04–6.55safer0.02–2.951.43–4.191.45–7.14
Yellow cards
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.572.303.87safe0.52–2.621.17–3.431.69–6.05safer0.25–2.890.88–3.721.14–6.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
15%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.973.885.85safe0.54–3.412.32–5.432.86–8.84safer0.15–3.801.90–5.862.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.92 0.95–2.89 0.70–3.14 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 63% 21% 15% |
| Shots on target | 5.99 4.12–7.85 3.63–8.34 | 2.62 0.88–4.37 0.42–4.83 | 8.61 5.01–12.22 4.05–13.17 | 84% |
| Total shots | 17.47 13.54–21.39 12.45–22.48 | 7.89 4.33–11.45 3.37–12.41 | 25.35 17.87–32.84 15.82–34.89 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 11.75 8.81–14.69 7.98–15.52 | 5.22 2.54–7.90 1.81–8.64 | 16.97 11.35–22.60 9.78–24.16 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.02 3.14–6.91 2.60–7.45 | 1.79 0.14–3.44 0.00–3.93 | 6.81 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.38 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.02 4.81–9.23 4.23–9.81 | 3.00 1.00–5.00 0.47–5.53 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 87% |
| Possession % | 63.14 56.35–69.93 54.68–71.60 | 36.17 29.39–42.96 27.72–44.63 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 582 514–649 496–667 | 330 263–396 246–414 | 911 777–1045 742–1081 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.16 72.13–80.18 70.83–81.48 | 66.67 62.34–70.99 61.04–72.30 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.56 9.72–15.39 8.96–16.15 | 12.87 9.93–15.82 9.18–16.57 | 25.43 19.65–31.21 18.14–32.72 | 44% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.49 0.33–2.65 0.02–2.95 | 2.81 1.72–3.90 1.43–4.19 | 4.30 2.04–6.55 1.45–7.14 | 18% 17% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 1.57 0.52–2.62 0.25–2.89 | 2.30 1.17–3.43 0.88–3.72 | 3.87 1.69–6.05 1.14–6.61 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.97 0.54–3.41 0.15–3.80 | 3.88 2.32–5.43 1.90–5.86 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 15% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.