Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
30%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.190.912.10safe0.22–2.160.05–1.760.28–3.92safer0.00–2.410.00–1.990.00–4.40
Shots on target
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.117.36safe2.38–6.111.37–4.853.75–10.96safer1.89–6.600.90–5.322.80–11.92
Total shots
79%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction13.649.3122.95safe9.71–17.565.75–12.8815.46–30.44safer8.62–18.654.79–13.8313.41–32.49
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction7.696.0013.68safe4.74–10.633.31–8.688.06–19.31safer3.92–11.462.58–9.416.49–20.87
Blocked shots
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.472.325.79safe1.59–5.360.66–3.972.25–9.32safer1.05–5.900.17–4.461.22–10.36
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.413.508.91safe3.20–7.631.50–5.504.70–13.12safer2.63–8.200.96–6.033.59–14.23
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.1344.44safe48.34–61.9237.65–51.22safer46.67–63.5935.98–52.89
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction444339783safe377–511273–406649–917safer358–529255–423614–952
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction66.2863.79safe62.25–70.3059.46–68.11safer60.95–71.6058.15–69.42
Fouls
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6416.1128.75safe9.80–15.4813.17–19.0622.97–34.53safer9.05–16.2312.42–19.8021.46–36.04
Offsides
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.074.23safe1.00–3.320.97–3.161.97–6.48safer0.70–3.620.68–3.451.38–7.07
Yellow cards
22%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.963.135.09safe0.91–3.012.00–4.262.92–7.27safer0.65–3.281.71–4.552.36–7.83
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.140.25safe0.00–0.270.00–0.330.00–0.60safer0.00–0.420.00–0.460.00–0.88
GK saves
28%
17%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.213.025.23safe0.78–3.651.47–4.582.24–8.23safer0.39–4.041.04–5.001.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.10 0.28–3.92 0.00–4.40 | 42% 30% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.11 1.89–6.60 | 3.11 1.37–4.85 0.90–5.32 | 7.36 3.75–10.96 2.80–11.92 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Total shots | 13.64 9.71–17.56 8.62–18.65 | 9.31 5.75–12.88 4.79–13.83 | 22.95 15.46–30.44 13.41–32.49 | 79% 16% |
| Shots in box | 7.69 4.74–10.63 3.92–11.46 | 6.00 3.31–8.68 2.58–9.41 | 13.68 8.06–19.31 6.49–20.87 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.47 1.59–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 2.32 0.66–3.97 0.17–4.46 | 5.79 2.25–9.32 1.22–10.36 | 61% 15% 24% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.20–7.63 2.63–8.20 | 3.50 1.50–5.50 0.96–6.03 | 8.91 4.70–13.12 3.59–14.23 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 55.13 48.34–61.92 46.67–63.59 | 44.44 37.65–51.22 35.98–52.89 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 358–529 | 339 273–406 255–423 | 783 649–917 614–952 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.28 62.25–70.30 60.95–71.60 | 63.79 59.46–68.11 58.15–69.42 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 12.64 9.80–15.48 9.05–16.23 | 16.11 13.17–19.06 12.42–19.80 | 28.75 22.97–34.53 21.46–36.04 | 23% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 2.07 0.97–3.16 0.68–3.45 | 4.23 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.65–3.28 | 3.13 2.00–4.26 1.71–4.55 | 5.09 2.92–7.27 2.36–7.83 | 22% 16% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.33 0.00–0.46 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 2.21 0.78–3.65 0.39–4.04 | 3.02 1.47–4.58 1.04–5.00 | 5.23 2.24–8.23 1.43–9.04 | 28% 17% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.