Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
30%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.062.12safe0.09–2.020.21–1.920.29–3.94safer0.00–2.270.00–2.150.00–4.42
Shots on target
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.807.17safe1.51–5.242.05–5.543.56–10.78safer1.02–5.721.59–6.012.61–11.73
Total shots
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4410.9022.34safe7.52–15.377.34–14.4614.85–29.83safer6.42–16.466.38–15.4212.80–31.88
Shots in box
51%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction7.206.5613.75safe4.25–10.143.88–9.248.13–19.38safer3.43–10.973.14–9.976.56–20.94
Blocked shots
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.005.72safe0.84–4.601.35–4.662.19–9.26safer0.30–5.150.86–5.151.15–10.29
Corners
40%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.679.10safe2.22–6.652.67–6.674.89–13.32safer1.65–7.222.14–7.203.78–14.43
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.4851.07safe42.69–56.2744.29–57.86safer41.02–57.9442.62–59.53
Passes
51%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction392388780safe325–460321–454646–914safer307–478304–472611–949
Pass accuracy %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction63.8467.90safe59.81–67.8763.57–72.22safer58.51–69.1662.26–73.53
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3613.2328.59safe12.53–18.2010.29–16.1822.81–34.37safer11.77–18.969.54–16.9221.31–35.88
Offsides
38%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.982.084.05safe0.82–3.140.98–3.171.80–6.31safer0.52–3.440.69–3.461.21–6.90
Yellow cards
45%
18%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.742.525.26safe1.69–3.791.39–3.653.08–7.44safer1.42–4.051.10–3.942.52–7.99
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.24safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.87
GK saves
46%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.602.304.90safe1.17–4.040.74–3.851.91–7.89safer0.78–4.430.32–4.281.09–8.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.09–2.02 0.00–2.27 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.12 0.29–3.94 0.00–4.42 | 35% 30% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.37 1.51–5.24 1.02–5.72 | 3.80 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.01 | 7.17 3.56–10.78 2.61–11.73 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Total shots | 11.44 7.52–15.37 6.42–16.46 | 10.90 7.34–14.46 6.38–15.42 | 22.34 14.85–29.83 12.80–31.88 | 50% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.20 4.25–10.14 3.43–10.97 | 6.56 3.88–9.24 3.14–9.97 | 13.75 8.13–19.38 6.56–20.94 | 51% 38% |
| Blocked shots | 2.72 0.84–4.60 0.30–5.15 | 3.00 1.35–4.66 0.86–5.15 | 5.72 2.19–9.26 1.15–10.29 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Corners | 4.44 2.22–6.65 1.65–7.22 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.20 | 9.10 4.89–13.32 3.78–14.43 | 40% 13% 46% |
| Possession % | 49.48 42.69–56.27 41.02–57.94 | 51.07 44.29–57.86 42.62–59.53 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 392 325–460 307–478 | 388 321–454 304–472 | 780 646–914 611–949 | 51% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.84 59.81–67.87 58.51–69.16 | 67.90 63.57–72.22 62.26–73.53 | — | 28% 68% |
| Fouls | 15.36 12.53–18.20 11.77–18.96 | 13.23 10.29–16.18 9.54–16.92 | 28.59 22.81–34.37 21.31–35.88 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 2.08 0.98–3.17 0.69–3.46 | 4.05 1.80–6.31 1.21–6.90 | 38% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.74 1.69–3.79 1.42–4.05 | 2.52 1.39–3.65 1.10–3.94 | 5.26 3.08–7.44 2.52–7.99 | 45% 18% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.24 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.87 | 80% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 2.30 0.74–3.85 0.32–4.28 | 4.90 1.91–7.89 1.09–8.70 | 46% 18% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+