La Liga·Regular Season - 12·
La Liga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.853.72safe0.00–1.842.00–3.711.90–5.55safer0.00–2.091.77–3.931.42–6.03
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction3.397.0310.42safe1.53–5.255.29–8.776.81–14.02safer1.04–5.744.82–9.245.86–14.98
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9318.1229.04safe7.00–14.8514.55–21.6821.55–36.53safer5.91–15.9413.59–22.6419.50–38.58
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7012.8619.56safe3.76–9.6510.18–15.5413.94–25.19safer2.93–10.489.44–16.2812.37–26.75
Blocked shots
19%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.295.378.66safe1.41–5.183.71–7.025.12–12.19safer0.87–5.723.22–7.514.09–13.23
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.9810.29safe2.10–6.523.98–7.986.08–14.50safer1.52–7.103.45–8.514.97–15.61
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction41.0560.26safe34.25–47.8453.47–67.04safer32.59–49.5151.80–68.72
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction400583983safe333–468516–649849–1117safer315–486499–667813–1152
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.4777.32safe61.44–69.4973.00–81.64safer60.14–70.7971.69–82.95
Fouls
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction12.149.8021.94safe9.30–14.986.85–12.7416.16–27.72safer8.55–15.736.11–13.4914.65–29.23
Offsides
28%
20%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.293.95safe0.49–2.811.20–3.391.69–6.20safer0.19–3.110.91–3.681.11–6.79
Yellow cards
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.603.88safe1.23–3.330.47–2.731.70–6.06safer0.96–3.600.18–3.021.15–6.62
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.080.21safe0.00–0.290.00–0.260.00–0.56safer0.00–0.440.00–0.400.00–0.84
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.392.566.94safe2.95–5.821.00–4.113.95–9.94safer2.56–6.210.57–4.543.14–10.75
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.85 2.00–3.71 1.77–3.93 | 3.72 1.90–5.55 1.42–6.03 | 13% 78% |
| Shots on target | 3.39 1.53–5.25 1.04–5.74 | 7.03 5.29–8.77 4.82–9.24 | 10.42 6.81–14.02 5.86–14.98 | 84% |
| Total shots | 10.93 7.00–14.85 5.91–15.94 | 18.12 14.55–21.68 13.59–22.64 | 29.04 21.55–36.53 19.50–38.58 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.70 3.76–9.65 2.93–10.48 | 12.86 10.18–15.54 9.44–16.28 | 19.56 13.94–25.19 12.37–26.75 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 3.29 1.41–5.18 0.87–5.72 | 5.37 3.71–7.02 3.22–7.51 | 8.66 5.12–12.19 4.09–13.23 | 19% 70% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.10–6.52 1.52–7.10 | 5.98 3.98–7.98 3.45–8.51 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 41.05 34.25–47.84 32.59–49.51 | 60.26 53.47–67.04 51.80–68.72 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 400 333–468 315–486 | 583 516–649 499–667 | 983 849–1117 813–1152 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.47 61.44–69.49 60.14–70.79 | 77.32 73.00–81.64 71.69–82.95 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.14 9.30–14.98 8.55–15.73 | 9.80 6.85–12.74 6.11–13.49 | 21.94 16.16–27.72 14.65–29.23 | 65% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.29 1.20–3.39 0.91–3.68 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 28% 20% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 2.28 1.23–3.33 0.96–3.60 | 1.60 0.47–2.73 0.18–3.02 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 4.39 2.95–5.82 2.56–6.21 | 2.56 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.54 | 6.94 3.95–9.94 3.14–10.75 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.