La Liga·Regular Season - 26·
La Liga·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.870.843.72safe1.91–3.840.00–1.701.90–5.54safer1.65–4.090.00–1.931.42–6.02
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.133.0011.13safe6.27–9.991.26–4.757.53–14.74safer5.78–10.480.80–5.216.57–15.69
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.088.7029.78safe17.15–25.005.14–12.2622.29–37.27safer16.06–26.104.18–13.2220.24–39.32
Shots in box
97%
homeawaytotalprediction14.765.8020.56safe11.82–17.703.12–8.4814.94–26.18safer10.99–18.532.38–9.2213.37–27.75
Blocked shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction5.752.237.98safe3.87–7.630.58–3.884.45–11.52safer3.33–8.180.09–4.383.41–12.55
Corners
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.563.2910.85safe5.35–9.771.29–5.296.64–15.07safer4.77–10.350.76–5.835.53–16.17
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.5439.78safe53.75–67.3333.00–46.57safer52.08–69.0031.33–48.24
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction610381991safe543–677315–447858–1125safer525–696297–465822–1161
Pass accuracy %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction76.1169.16safe72.08–80.1464.83–73.48safer70.79–81.4363.52–74.79
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2811.5120.79safe6.44–12.128.57–14.4615.01–26.58safer5.68–12.877.82–15.2113.51–28.08
Offsides
56%
19%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.461.644.10safe1.30–3.620.55–2.741.85–6.36safer1.00–3.920.26–3.031.26–6.95
Yellow cards
22%
21%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.172.013.17safe0.12–2.210.88–3.130.99–5.35safer0.00–2.480.58–3.430.43–5.91
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.265.337.59safe0.82–3.693.78–6.894.60–10.58safer0.43–4.083.35–7.323.79–11.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.87 1.91–3.84 1.65–4.09 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.72 1.90–5.54 1.42–6.02 | 79% 13% |
| Shots on target | 8.13 6.27–9.99 5.78–10.48 | 3.00 1.26–4.75 0.80–5.21 | 11.13 7.53–14.74 6.57–15.69 | 92% |
| Total shots | 21.08 17.15–25.00 16.06–26.10 | 8.70 5.14–12.26 4.18–13.22 | 29.78 22.29–37.27 20.24–39.32 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.76 11.82–17.70 10.99–18.53 | 5.80 3.12–8.48 2.38–9.22 | 20.56 14.94–26.18 13.37–27.75 | 97% |
| Blocked shots | 5.75 3.87–7.63 3.33–8.18 | 2.23 0.58–3.88 0.09–4.38 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.55 | 86% |
| Corners | 7.56 5.35–9.77 4.77–10.35 | 3.29 1.29–5.29 0.76–5.83 | 10.85 6.64–15.07 5.53–16.17 | 88% |
| Possession % | 60.54 53.75–67.33 52.08–69.00 | 39.78 33.00–46.57 31.33–48.24 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 610 543–677 525–696 | 381 315–447 297–465 | 991 858–1125 822–1161 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.11 72.08–80.14 70.79–81.43 | 69.16 64.83–73.48 63.52–74.79 | — | 80% 17% |
| Fouls | 9.28 6.44–12.12 5.68–12.87 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 20.79 15.01–26.58 13.51–28.08 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 2.46 1.30–3.62 1.00–3.92 | 1.64 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 56% 19% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.17 0.12–2.21 0.00–2.48 | 2.01 0.88–3.13 0.58–3.43 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.91 | 22% 21% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.26 0.82–3.69 0.43–4.08 | 5.33 3.78–6.89 3.35–7.32 | 7.59 4.60–10.58 3.79–11.40 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+