La Liga·Regular Season - 12·
La Liga·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
22%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.822.70safe0.91–2.840.00–1.680.87–4.52safer0.66–3.090.00–1.900.39–5.00
Shots on target
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.813.249.05safe3.94–7.671.50–4.995.44–12.65safer3.45–8.161.03–5.454.49–13.61
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.379.9426.32safe12.45–20.306.38–13.5118.83–33.81safer11.36–21.395.42–14.4716.78–35.86
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.956.5517.50safe8.01–13.903.86–9.2311.88–23.12safer7.18–14.723.13–9.9610.31–24.69
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.707.43safe2.85–6.611.05–4.353.89–10.96safer2.30–7.150.56–4.852.86–12.00
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.4810.32safe4.63–9.061.48–5.486.11–14.54safer4.06–9.630.94–6.015.00–15.64
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction62.9436.07safe56.15–69.7329.29–42.86safer54.48–71.4027.62–44.53
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction577295871safe509–644228–361737–1005safer491–662211–379702–1040
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction76.5565.46safe72.52–80.5861.14–69.79safer71.23–81.8759.83–71.10
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0814.6627.74safe10.24–15.9211.71–17.6021.96–33.52safer9.49–16.6710.97–18.3520.45–35.03
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.303.15safe0.69–3.010.21–2.390.89–5.40safer0.39–3.310.00–2.680.31–5.99
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.594.31safe0.67–2.771.46–3.722.13–6.49safer0.41–3.041.17–4.011.58–7.05
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.725.98safe0.83–3.702.16–5.272.99–8.97safer0.44–4.091.73–5.702.18–9.79
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.84 0.66–3.09 | 0.82 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.90 | 2.70 0.87–4.52 0.39–5.00 | 62% 22% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.81 3.94–7.67 3.45–8.16 | 3.24 1.50–4.99 1.03–5.45 | 9.05 5.44–12.65 4.49–13.61 | 75% 15% |
| Total shots | 16.37 12.45–20.30 11.36–21.39 | 9.94 6.38–13.51 5.42–14.47 | 26.32 18.83–33.81 16.78–35.86 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.01–13.90 7.18–14.72 | 6.55 3.86–9.23 3.13–9.96 | 17.50 11.88–23.12 10.31–24.69 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.73 2.85–6.61 2.30–7.15 | 2.70 1.05–4.35 0.56–4.85 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.84 4.63–9.06 4.06–9.63 | 3.48 1.48–5.48 0.94–6.01 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 82% |
| Possession % | 62.94 56.15–69.73 54.48–71.40 | 36.07 29.29–42.86 27.62–44.53 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 577 509–644 491–662 | 295 228–361 211–379 | 871 737–1005 702–1040 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.55 72.52–80.58 71.23–81.87 | 65.46 61.14–69.79 59.83–71.10 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.08 10.24–15.92 9.49–16.67 | 14.66 11.71–17.60 10.97–18.35 | 27.74 21.96–33.52 20.45–35.03 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 1.30 0.21–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 3.15 0.89–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.59 1.46–3.72 1.17–4.01 | 4.31 2.13–6.49 1.58–7.05 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.70 0.44–4.09 | 3.72 2.16–5.27 1.73–5.70 | 5.98 2.99–8.97 2.18–9.79 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.