La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
19%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.240.903.14safe1.28–3.210.05–1.751.32–4.97safer1.03–3.460.00–1.980.84–5.45
Shots on target
84%
homeawaytotalprediction6.713.129.83safe4.85–8.581.38–4.866.23–13.44safer4.36–9.070.91–5.335.27–14.39
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.548.8427.38safe14.62–22.475.28–12.4019.90–34.87safer13.53–23.564.32–13.3617.85–36.92
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.655.4918.14safe9.71–15.592.81–8.1712.52–23.76safer8.88–16.422.07–8.9110.95–25.33
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.082.747.82safe3.19–6.961.09–4.394.28–11.35safer2.65–7.500.59–4.893.24–12.39
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.993.3910.38safe4.77–9.201.39–5.396.16–14.59safer4.20–9.780.85–5.925.05–15.70
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.1340.79safe52.34–65.9234.01–47.58safer50.67–67.5932.34–49.25
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction580375956safe513–647309–442822–1089safer495–666291–459786–1125
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction73.6468.58safe69.61–77.6764.26–72.91safer68.32–78.9662.95–74.22
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9910.8020.78safe7.15–12.827.85–13.7415.00–26.56safer6.39–13.587.10–14.4913.50–28.07
Offsides
52%
21%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.443.52safe0.92–3.240.35–2.531.27–5.78safer0.62–3.540.06–2.820.68–6.37
Yellow cards
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.953.41safe0.41–2.510.82–3.081.23–5.59safer0.15–2.780.53–3.370.68–6.15
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.164.206.36safe0.72–3.592.64–5.763.37–9.35safer0.33–3.982.22–6.182.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.24 1.28–3.21 1.03–3.46 | 0.90 0.05–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 3.14 1.32–4.97 0.84–5.45 | 68% 19% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.58 4.36–9.07 | 3.12 1.38–4.86 0.91–5.33 | 9.83 6.23–13.44 5.27–14.39 | 84% |
| Total shots | 18.54 14.62–22.47 13.53–23.56 | 8.84 5.28–12.40 4.32–13.36 | 27.38 19.90–34.87 17.85–36.92 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.65 9.71–15.59 8.88–16.42 | 5.49 2.81–8.17 2.07–8.91 | 18.14 12.52–23.76 10.95–25.33 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.08 3.19–6.96 2.65–7.50 | 2.74 1.09–4.39 0.59–4.89 | 7.82 4.28–11.35 3.24–12.39 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.99 4.77–9.20 4.20–9.78 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.85–5.92 | 10.38 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.70 | 83% |
| Possession % | 59.13 52.34–65.92 50.67–67.59 | 40.79 34.01–47.58 32.34–49.25 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 580 513–647 495–666 | 375 309–442 291–459 | 956 822–1089 786–1125 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.64 69.61–77.67 68.32–78.96 | 68.58 64.26–72.91 62.95–74.22 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 9.99 7.15–12.82 6.39–13.58 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 20.78 15.00–26.56 13.50–28.07 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.08 0.92–3.24 0.62–3.54 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.52 1.27–5.78 0.68–6.37 | 52% 21% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.46 0.41–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.16 0.72–3.59 0.33–3.98 | 4.20 2.64–5.76 2.22–6.18 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.