La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.230.973.20safe1.26–3.200.12–1.831.38–5.02safer1.01–3.450.00–2.060.90–5.50
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.733.3210.05safe4.87–8.591.57–5.066.44–13.65safer4.38–9.081.11–5.535.49–14.61
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.899.4728.36safe14.96–22.815.91–13.0320.87–35.84safer13.87–23.904.95–13.9918.82–37.89
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction11.566.5118.07safe8.62–14.503.83–9.1912.45–23.70safer7.79–15.333.09–9.9310.88–25.26
Blocked shots
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.002.377.37safe3.12–6.880.71–4.023.83–10.91safer2.58–7.430.22–4.512.80–11.94
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.593.399.97safe4.37–8.801.39–5.395.76–14.19safer3.80–9.370.85–5.924.65–15.29
Possession %
84%
homeawayprediction58.9940.90safe52.20–65.7834.11–47.68safer50.53–67.4532.44–49.35
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction6084031010safe540–675336–469877–1144safer522–693319–487841–1180
Pass accuracy %
71%
24%
homeawayprediction76.3771.48safe72.34–80.4067.16–75.80safer71.05–81.6965.85–77.11
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4912.7123.20safe7.65–13.329.76–15.6517.41–28.98safer6.89–14.089.02–16.4015.91–30.48
Offsides
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.403.95safe0.38–2.711.31–3.501.69–6.20safer0.08–3.011.02–3.781.11–6.79
Yellow cards
21%
19%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.383.73safe0.30–2.401.25–3.511.56–5.91safer0.04–2.670.96–3.801.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.110.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.51safer0.00–0.360.00–0.430.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.174.306.47safe0.74–3.612.74–5.863.48–9.46safer0.35–4.002.32–6.282.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.23 1.26–3.20 1.01–3.45 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.20 1.38–5.02 0.90–5.50 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.73 4.87–8.59 4.38–9.08 | 3.32 1.57–5.06 1.11–5.53 | 10.05 6.44–13.65 5.49–14.61 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.89 14.96–22.81 13.87–23.90 | 9.47 5.91–13.03 4.95–13.99 | 28.36 20.87–35.84 18.82–37.89 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 11.56 8.62–14.50 7.79–15.33 | 6.51 3.83–9.19 3.09–9.93 | 18.07 12.45–23.70 10.88–25.26 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 5.00 3.12–6.88 2.58–7.43 | 2.37 0.71–4.02 0.22–4.51 | 7.37 3.83–10.91 2.80–11.94 | 79% |
| Corners | 6.59 4.37–8.80 3.80–9.37 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.85–5.92 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 81% |
| Possession % | 58.99 52.20–65.78 50.53–67.45 | 40.90 34.11–47.68 32.44–49.35 | — | 84% |
| Passes | 608 540–675 522–693 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 1010 877–1144 841–1180 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.37 72.34–80.40 71.05–81.69 | 71.48 67.16–75.80 65.85–77.11 | — | 71% 24% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.65–13.32 6.89–14.08 | 12.71 9.76–15.65 9.02–16.40 | 23.20 17.41–28.98 15.91–30.48 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.71 0.08–3.01 | 2.40 1.31–3.50 1.02–3.78 | 3.95 1.69–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.38 1.25–3.51 0.96–3.80 | 3.73 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 21% 19% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 4.30 2.74–5.86 2.32–6.28 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 15% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.