La Liga·Regular Season - 20·
La Liga·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.232.51safe0.32–2.250.37–2.080.69–4.33safer0.06–2.500.14–2.310.21–4.81
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.294.178.46safe2.43–6.152.43–5.914.85–12.06safer1.94–6.641.96–6.383.90–13.02
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3112.0124.33safe8.39–16.248.45–15.5816.84–31.81safer7.30–17.337.49–16.5414.79–33.86
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.858.0415.89safe4.91–10.795.36–10.7210.27–21.52safer4.08–11.624.62–11.468.70–23.08
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.733.096.82safe1.84–5.611.44–4.753.28–10.36safer1.30–6.150.95–5.242.25–11.39
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.094.249.33safe2.88–7.312.24–6.245.12–13.54safer2.31–7.881.70–6.774.01–14.65
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.5045.10safe48.71–62.2938.31–51.88safer47.04–63.9636.64–53.55
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction499385884safe432–566318–451750–1018safer414–585301–469715–1053
Pass accuracy %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction69.0668.12safe65.03–73.0963.79–72.44safer63.74–74.3962.48–73.75
Fouls
40%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8814.7828.66safe11.04–16.7211.84–17.7322.88–34.44safer10.29–17.4711.09–18.4821.37–35.95
Offsides
18%
17%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction1.402.714.11safe0.24–2.561.62–3.801.86–6.37safer0.00–2.861.33–4.091.27–6.95
Yellow cards
33%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.865.23safe1.31–3.411.74–3.993.05–7.40safer1.05–3.681.44–4.282.49–7.96
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
39%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.825.52safe1.27–4.141.26–4.372.53–8.51safer0.88–4.530.84–4.801.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.32–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.29 2.43–6.15 1.94–6.64 | 4.17 2.43–5.91 1.96–6.38 | 8.46 4.85–12.06 3.90–13.02 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 12.31 8.39–16.24 7.30–17.33 | 12.01 8.45–15.58 7.49–16.54 | 24.33 16.84–31.81 14.79–33.86 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 7.85 4.91–10.79 4.08–11.62 | 8.04 5.36–10.72 4.62–11.46 | 15.89 10.27–21.52 8.70–23.08 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.73 1.84–5.61 1.30–6.15 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.82 3.28–10.36 2.25–11.39 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 5.09 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.70–6.77 | 9.33 5.12–13.54 4.01–14.65 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 55.50 48.71–62.29 47.04–63.96 | 45.10 38.31–51.88 36.64–53.55 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 499 432–566 414–585 | 385 318–451 301–469 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.06 65.03–73.09 63.74–74.39 | 68.12 63.79–72.44 62.48–73.75 | — | 52% 43% |
| Fouls | 13.88 11.04–16.72 10.29–17.47 | 14.78 11.84–17.73 11.09–18.48 | 28.66 22.88–34.44 21.37–35.95 | 40% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.40 0.24–2.56 0.00–2.86 | 2.71 1.62–3.80 1.33–4.09 | 4.11 1.86–6.37 1.27–6.95 | 18% 17% 65% |
| Yellow cards | 2.36 1.31–3.41 1.05–3.68 | 2.86 1.74–3.99 1.44–4.28 | 5.23 3.05–7.40 2.49–7.96 | 33% 18% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.82 1.26–4.37 0.84–4.80 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 39% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.