La Liga·Regular Season - 21·
La Liga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
65%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.030.832.86safe1.06–3.000.00–1.691.04–4.68safer0.81–3.250.00–1.910.56–5.16
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.443.179.61safe4.58–8.301.42–4.916.00–13.21safer4.09–8.790.96–5.385.05–14.17
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction17.709.2326.93safe13.78–21.625.67–12.7919.44–34.42safer12.68–22.724.71–13.7517.39–36.47
Shots in box
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.766.1417.89safe8.82–14.703.45–8.8212.27–23.52safer7.99–15.532.72–9.5510.70–25.08
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction4.792.106.90safe2.91–6.680.45–3.753.36–10.43safer2.37–7.220.00–4.252.33–11.47
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.293.4810.77safe5.08–9.511.48–5.486.56–14.99safer4.51–10.080.95–6.015.45–16.09
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.0738.82safe54.28–67.8632.04–45.61safer52.61–69.5330.37–47.28
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction579368946safe511–646301–434813–1080safer493–664284–452777–1116
Pass accuracy %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction76.4370.06safe72.40–80.4665.74–74.39safer71.11–81.7564.43–75.70
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1611.6322.79safe8.32–13.998.69–14.5817.01–28.57safer7.56–14.757.94–15.3315.50–30.08
Offsides
35%
19%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.182.484.66safe1.02–3.341.39–3.572.40–6.91safer0.71–3.641.10–3.861.81–7.50
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.973.52safe0.50–2.590.84–3.101.34–5.70safer0.23–2.860.55–3.390.78–6.25
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.246.56safe0.88–3.752.69–5.803.57–9.55safer0.49–4.142.26–6.222.76–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 0.83 0.00–1.69 0.00–1.91 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 65% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.44 4.58–8.30 4.09–8.79 | 3.17 1.42–4.91 0.96–5.38 | 9.61 6.00–13.21 5.05–14.17 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.70 13.78–21.62 12.68–22.72 | 9.23 5.67–12.79 4.71–13.75 | 26.93 19.44–34.42 17.39–36.47 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 11.76 8.82–14.70 7.99–15.53 | 6.14 3.45–8.82 2.72–9.55 | 17.89 12.27–23.52 10.70–25.08 | 89% |
| Blocked shots | 4.79 2.91–6.68 2.37–7.22 | 2.10 0.45–3.75 0.00–4.25 | 6.90 3.36–10.43 2.33–11.47 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.29 5.08–9.51 4.51–10.08 | 3.48 1.48–5.48 0.95–6.01 | 10.77 6.56–14.99 5.45–16.09 | 85% |
| Possession % | 61.07 54.28–67.86 52.61–69.53 | 38.82 32.04–45.61 30.37–47.28 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 579 511–646 493–664 | 368 301–434 284–452 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.43 72.40–80.46 71.11–81.75 | 70.06 65.74–74.39 64.43–75.70 | — | 78% 19% |
| Fouls | 11.16 8.32–13.99 7.56–14.75 | 11.63 8.69–14.58 7.94–15.33 | 22.79 17.01–28.57 15.50–30.08 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.71–3.64 | 2.48 1.39–3.57 1.10–3.86 | 4.66 2.40–6.91 1.81–7.50 | 35% 19% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.25 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.88–3.75 0.49–4.14 | 4.24 2.69–5.80 2.26–6.22 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.76–10.36 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+