La Liga·Regular Season - 21·
La Liga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.662.82safe0.19–2.130.81–2.521.00–4.64safer0.00–2.380.58–2.740.52–5.12
Shots on target
31%
13%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.944.878.82safe2.08–5.813.13–6.625.21–12.42safer1.59–6.292.67–7.084.26–13.38
Total shots
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6514.0626.72safe8.73–16.5810.50–17.6319.23–34.21safer7.64–17.679.54–18.5817.18–36.26
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.549.5518.10safe5.60–11.496.87–12.2312.47–23.72safer4.77–12.326.14–12.9710.91–25.29
Blocked shots
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.794.107.89safe1.91–5.672.45–5.754.36–11.43safer1.37–6.221.96–6.253.32–12.46
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.0810.02safe2.72–7.153.08–7.085.81–14.23safer2.15–7.722.55–7.624.70–15.34
Possession %
18%
78%
homeawayprediction43.8158.09safe37.02–50.6051.30–64.87safer35.35–52.2749.63–66.54
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction375501875safe307–442434–567742–1009safer289–460417–585706–1045
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction63.4474.99safe59.41–67.4770.66–79.31safer58.12–68.7769.35–80.62
Fouls
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5813.5628.14safe11.74–17.4110.62–16.5122.36–33.92safer10.98–18.179.87–17.2620.85–35.43
Offsides
40%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.543.19safe0.48–2.800.45–2.640.93–5.44safer0.18–3.100.16–2.920.34–6.03
Yellow cards
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.184.42safe1.18–3.281.06–3.312.24–6.59safer0.92–3.550.76–3.601.68–7.15
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.21safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.84
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.816.13safe1.88–4.751.26–4.373.14–9.12safer1.49–5.140.83–4.802.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.74 | 2.82 1.00–4.64 0.52–5.12 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.81 1.59–6.29 | 4.87 3.13–6.62 2.67–7.08 | 8.82 5.21–12.42 4.26–13.38 | 31% 13% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.65 8.73–16.58 7.64–17.67 | 14.06 10.50–17.63 9.54–18.58 | 26.72 19.23–34.21 17.18–36.26 | 36% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.54 5.60–11.49 4.77–12.32 | 9.55 6.87–12.23 6.14–12.97 | 18.10 12.47–23.72 10.91–25.29 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.37–6.22 | 4.10 2.45–5.75 1.96–6.25 | 7.89 4.36–11.43 3.32–12.46 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 5.08 3.08–7.08 2.55–7.62 | 10.02 5.81–14.23 4.70–15.34 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 43.81 37.02–50.60 35.35–52.27 | 58.09 51.30–64.87 49.63–66.54 | — | 18% 78% |
| Passes | 375 307–442 289–460 | 501 434–567 417–585 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.44 59.41–67.47 58.12–68.77 | 74.99 70.66–79.31 69.35–80.62 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 14.58 11.74–17.41 10.98–18.17 | 13.56 10.62–16.51 9.87–17.26 | 28.14 22.36–33.92 20.85–35.43 | 54% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.54 0.45–2.64 0.16–2.92 | 3.19 0.93–5.44 0.34–6.03 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 4.42 2.24–6.59 1.68–7.15 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.88–4.75 1.49–5.14 | 2.81 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.80 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+