La Liga·Regular Season - 21·
La Liga·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.082.103.17safe0.11–2.051.24–2.951.35–5.00safer0.00–2.301.01–3.180.87–5.48
Shots on target
17%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction3.556.019.56safe1.68–5.414.27–7.755.95–13.16safer1.19–5.903.80–8.225.00–14.12
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4816.0326.51safe6.56–14.4112.47–19.5919.03–34.00safer5.47–15.5011.51–20.5516.98–36.05
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2310.3916.61safe3.29–9.177.70–13.0710.99–22.24safer2.46–10.006.97–13.809.42–23.80
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.736.92safe1.30–5.072.08–5.393.39–10.46safer0.76–5.611.59–5.882.35–11.49
Corners
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.305.469.77safe2.09–6.523.46–7.465.55–13.98safer1.52–7.092.93–8.004.45–15.09
Possession %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction46.7453.96safe39.95–53.5347.18–60.74safer38.28–55.2045.50–62.42
Passes
32%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction443499942safe376–510433–566809–1076safer358–528415–583773–1112
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction66.4473.81safe62.41–70.4769.49–78.13safer61.12–71.7668.18–79.44
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1612.9525.10safe9.32–15.0010.00–15.8919.32–30.89safer8.57–15.759.25–16.6417.82–32.39
Offsides
15%
15%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.423.084.50safe0.26–2.581.99–4.172.25–6.75safer0.00–2.881.70–4.461.66–7.34
Yellow cards
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.132.204.34safe1.08–3.181.07–3.332.16–6.51safer0.82–3.450.78–3.621.60–7.07
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
63%
14%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction3.832.506.34safe2.40–5.270.95–4.063.35–9.33safer2.01–5.660.52–4.492.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.11–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 2.10 1.24–2.95 1.01–3.18 | 3.17 1.35–5.00 0.87–5.48 | 19% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.55 1.68–5.41 1.19–5.90 | 6.01 4.27–7.75 3.80–8.22 | 9.56 5.95–13.16 5.00–14.12 | 17% 74% |
| Total shots | 10.48 6.56–14.41 5.47–15.50 | 16.03 12.47–19.59 11.51–20.55 | 26.51 19.03–34.00 16.98–36.05 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 6.23 3.29–9.17 2.46–10.00 | 10.39 7.70–13.07 6.97–13.80 | 16.61 10.99–22.24 9.42–23.80 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.30–5.07 0.76–5.61 | 3.73 2.08–5.39 1.59–5.88 | 6.92 3.39–10.46 2.35–11.49 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.30 2.09–6.52 1.52–7.09 | 5.46 3.46–7.46 2.93–8.00 | 9.77 5.55–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 30% 58% |
| Possession % | 46.74 39.95–53.53 38.28–55.20 | 53.96 47.18–60.74 45.50–62.42 | — | 31% 64% |
| Passes | 443 376–510 358–528 | 499 433–566 415–583 | 942 809–1076 773–1112 | 32% 68% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.44 62.41–70.47 61.12–71.76 | 73.81 69.49–78.13 68.18–79.44 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.57–15.75 | 12.95 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.64 | 25.10 19.32–30.89 17.82–32.39 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.88 | 3.08 1.99–4.17 1.70–4.46 | 4.50 2.25–6.75 1.66–7.34 | 15% 15% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 2.13 1.08–3.18 0.82–3.45 | 2.20 1.07–3.33 0.78–3.62 | 4.34 2.16–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.83 2.40–5.27 2.01–5.66 | 2.50 0.95–4.06 0.52–4.49 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 63% 14% 23% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+