La Liga·Regular Season - 22·
La Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
17%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction2.420.973.39safe1.45–3.390.12–1.831.57–5.21safer1.20–3.640.00–2.061.09–5.69
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.723.3410.07safe4.86–8.591.60–5.086.46–13.67safer4.37–9.081.13–5.555.51–14.63
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.669.6427.30safe13.73–21.586.07–13.2019.81–34.78safer12.64–22.675.12–14.1617.76–36.83
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.796.3018.09safe8.85–14.733.62–8.9812.46–23.71safer8.02–15.562.88–9.7110.90–25.28
Blocked shots
75%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.447.19safe2.86–6.630.79–4.103.65–10.72safer2.32–7.170.30–4.592.62–11.76
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.653.4710.12safe4.44–8.871.47–5.475.91–14.34safer3.86–9.440.94–6.004.80–15.44
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.1144.19safe49.32–62.9037.41–50.98safer47.65–64.5735.74–52.65
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction555421976safe487–622354–487842–1109safer469–640337–505806–1145
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction73.2470.83safe69.21–77.2766.51–75.16safer67.92–78.5665.20–76.47
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9813.5525.52safe9.14–14.8110.60–16.4919.74–31.31safer8.38–15.579.86–17.2418.24–32.81
Offsides
45%
18%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.812.585.39safe1.65–3.971.49–3.683.14–7.64safer1.34–4.271.20–3.972.55–8.23
Yellow cards
26%
18%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.674.53safe0.81–2.911.54–3.802.35–6.71safer0.54–3.171.25–4.091.79–7.26
Red cards
81%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.150.23safe0.00–0.240.00–0.340.00–0.57safer0.00–0.390.00–0.470.00–0.86
GK saves
16%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.326.62safe0.87–3.742.76–5.883.63–9.61safer0.48–4.132.34–6.302.82–10.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.42 1.45–3.39 1.20–3.64 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 3.39 1.57–5.21 1.09–5.69 | 69% 17% 13% |
| Shots on target | 6.72 4.86–8.59 4.37–9.08 | 3.34 1.60–5.08 1.13–5.55 | 10.07 6.46–13.67 5.51–14.63 | 82% |
| Total shots | 17.66 13.73–21.58 12.64–22.67 | 9.64 6.07–13.20 5.12–14.16 | 27.30 19.81–34.78 17.76–36.83 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.79 8.85–14.73 8.02–15.56 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.71 | 18.09 12.46–23.71 10.90–25.28 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.63 2.32–7.17 | 2.44 0.79–4.10 0.30–4.59 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 75% 14% |
| Corners | 6.65 4.44–8.87 3.86–9.44 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.94–6.00 | 10.12 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.44 | 80% |
| Possession % | 56.11 49.32–62.90 47.65–64.57 | 44.19 37.41–50.98 35.74–52.65 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 555 487–622 469–640 | 421 354–487 337–505 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.24 69.21–77.27 67.92–78.56 | 70.83 66.51–75.16 65.20–76.47 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.98 9.14–14.81 8.38–15.57 | 13.55 10.60–16.49 9.86–17.24 | 25.52 19.74–31.31 18.24–32.81 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.81 1.65–3.97 1.34–4.27 | 2.58 1.49–3.68 1.20–3.97 | 5.39 3.14–7.64 2.55–8.23 | 45% 18% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 2.67 1.54–3.80 1.25–4.09 | 4.53 2.35–6.71 1.79–7.26 | 26% 18% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.34 0.00–0.47 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% 13% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 4.32 2.76–5.88 2.34–6.30 | 6.62 3.63–9.61 2.82–10.43 | 16% 72% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+