La Liga·Regular Season - 22·
La Liga·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.332.54safe0.23–2.170.48–2.190.71–4.36safer0.00–2.420.25–2.420.23–4.84
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.714.077.77safe1.84–5.572.32–5.814.17–11.38safer1.36–6.061.86–6.273.21–12.33
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5212.9424.46safe7.60–15.459.38–16.5016.97–31.95safer6.51–16.548.42–17.4614.92–34.00
Shots in box
41%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction7.477.8115.28safe4.53–10.415.13–10.499.66–20.90safer3.70–11.244.39–11.238.09–22.47
Blocked shots
35%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.193.676.86safe1.31–5.072.02–5.323.32–10.40safer0.76–5.621.52–5.822.29–11.43
Corners
43%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.589.12safe2.33–6.762.58–6.584.91–13.33safer1.76–7.332.04–7.113.80–14.44
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.9557.45safe37.16–50.7450.67–64.24safer35.49–52.4149.00–65.91
Passes
21%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction407504911safe339–474438–571777–1045safer321–492420–588742–1080
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction65.6275.12safe61.59–69.6570.80–79.45safer60.30–70.9469.49–80.76
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6613.2526.91safe10.82–16.5010.31–16.2021.13–32.70safer10.07–17.259.56–16.9519.63–34.20
Offsides
45%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.393.07safe0.52–2.840.29–2.480.81–5.32safer0.22–3.140.00–2.770.23–5.91
Yellow cards
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.034.27safe1.19–3.290.90–3.162.09–6.45safer0.93–3.560.61–3.451.53–7.00
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.110.22safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.85
GK saves
44%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.625.38safe1.33–4.201.06–4.172.38–8.37safer0.94–4.590.63–4.601.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.42 | 2.54 0.71–4.36 0.23–4.84 | 34% 27% 40% |
| Shots on target | 3.71 1.84–5.57 1.36–6.06 | 4.07 2.32–5.81 1.86–6.27 | 7.77 4.17–11.38 3.21–12.33 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 11.52 7.60–15.45 6.51–16.54 | 12.94 9.38–16.50 8.42–17.46 | 24.46 16.97–31.95 14.92–34.00 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 7.47 4.53–10.41 3.70–11.24 | 7.81 5.13–10.49 4.39–11.23 | 15.28 9.66–20.90 8.09–22.47 | 41% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.19 1.31–5.07 0.76–5.62 | 3.67 2.02–5.32 1.52–5.82 | 6.86 3.32–10.40 2.29–11.43 | 35% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.54 2.33–6.76 1.76–7.33 | 4.58 2.58–6.58 2.04–7.11 | 9.12 4.91–13.33 3.80–14.44 | 43% 13% 44% |
| Possession % | 43.95 37.16–50.74 35.49–52.41 | 57.45 50.67–64.24 49.00–65.91 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 407 339–474 321–492 | 504 438–571 420–588 | 911 777–1045 742–1080 | 21% 79% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.62 61.59–69.65 60.30–70.94 | 75.12 70.80–79.45 69.49–80.76 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 13.66 10.82–16.50 10.07–17.25 | 13.25 10.31–16.20 9.56–16.95 | 26.91 21.13–32.70 19.63–34.20 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 3.07 0.81–5.32 0.23–5.91 | 45% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.93–3.56 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 4.27 2.09–6.45 1.53–7.00 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 2.62 1.06–4.17 0.63–4.60 | 5.38 2.38–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 44% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.