La Liga·Regular Season - 24·
La Liga·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
13%
20%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction0.752.002.76safe0.00–1.721.15–2.860.93–4.58safer0.00–1.970.92–3.090.45–5.06
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.565.558.11safe0.70–4.423.80–7.294.50–11.71safer0.21–4.913.34–7.753.55–12.67
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.0116.0824.08safe4.08–11.9312.51–19.6416.60–31.57safer2.99–13.0211.56–20.6014.55–33.62
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.0610.4915.54safe2.12–8.007.80–13.179.92–21.17safer1.29–8.837.07–13.908.35–22.73
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction2.294.867.15safe0.41–4.173.21–6.523.62–10.69safer0.00–4.722.72–7.012.58–11.72
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction2.895.758.65safe0.68–5.113.75–7.754.43–12.86safer0.11–5.683.22–8.293.33–13.97
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction37.1064.11safe30.31–43.8957.32–70.89safer28.64–45.5655.65–72.56
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction349594944safe282–416528–661810–1077safer264–435510–678774–1113
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction62.2879.46safe58.25–66.3175.14–83.78safer56.96–67.6073.83–85.09
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.3824.48safe9.26–14.949.43–15.3218.70–30.26safer8.51–15.698.68–16.0717.19–31.76
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.673.33safe0.50–2.820.57–2.761.07–5.58safer0.20–3.120.29–3.050.49–6.17
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.813.99safe1.13–3.230.68–2.941.81–6.16safer0.86–3.490.39–3.231.25–6.72
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.23safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.57safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.86
GK saves
68%
14%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.045.71safe2.23–5.110.48–3.592.71–8.70safer1.85–5.490.05–4.021.90–9.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.75 0.00–1.72 0.00–1.97 | 2.00 1.15–2.86 0.92–3.09 | 2.76 0.93–4.58 0.45–5.06 | 13% 20% 67% |
| Shots on target | 2.56 0.70–4.42 0.21–4.91 | 5.55 3.80–7.29 3.34–7.75 | 8.11 4.50–11.71 3.55–12.67 | 81% |
| Total shots | 8.01 4.08–11.93 2.99–13.02 | 16.08 12.51–19.64 11.56–20.60 | 24.08 16.60–31.57 14.55–33.62 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 5.06 2.12–8.00 1.29–8.83 | 10.49 7.80–13.17 7.07–13.90 | 15.54 9.92–21.17 8.35–22.73 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.29 0.41–4.17 0.00–4.72 | 4.86 3.21–6.52 2.72–7.01 | 7.15 3.62–10.69 2.58–11.72 | 78% |
| Corners | 2.89 0.68–5.11 0.11–5.68 | 5.75 3.75–7.75 3.22–8.29 | 8.65 4.43–12.86 3.33–13.97 | 79% |
| Possession % | 37.10 30.31–43.89 28.64–45.56 | 64.11 57.32–70.89 55.65–72.56 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 349 282–416 264–435 | 594 528–661 510–678 | 944 810–1077 774–1113 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.28 58.25–66.31 56.96–67.60 | 79.46 75.14–83.78 73.83–85.09 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.94 8.51–15.69 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 24.48 18.70–30.26 17.19–31.76 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.12 | 1.67 0.57–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.33 1.07–5.58 0.49–6.17 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 2.18 1.13–3.23 0.86–3.49 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.99 1.81–6.16 1.25–6.72 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.23–5.11 1.85–5.49 | 2.04 0.48–3.59 0.05–4.02 | 5.71 2.71–8.70 1.90–9.51 | 68% 14% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.