Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
28%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.192.30safe0.14–2.080.34–2.050.48–4.13safer0.00–2.330.11–2.280.00–4.61
Shots on target
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.803.887.68safe1.93–5.662.14–5.624.07–11.28safer1.44–6.151.67–6.093.12–12.24
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4711.9223.39safe7.54–15.398.36–15.4815.90–30.88safer6.45–16.497.40–16.4413.85–32.93
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction7.368.2015.56safe4.42–10.305.52–10.889.94–21.18safer3.59–11.134.78–11.628.37–22.75
Blocked shots
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.667.07safe1.53–5.292.01–5.323.54–10.61safer0.98–5.831.52–5.812.50–11.64
Corners
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.329.45safe2.92–7.342.32–6.325.24–13.66safer2.34–7.921.79–6.854.13–14.77
Possession %
79%
18%
homeawayprediction57.9143.44safe51.12–64.7036.66–50.23safer49.45–66.3734.99–51.90
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction506353859safe439–573286–419725–993safer421–592269–437690–1028
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction66.7467.04safe62.71–70.7762.72–71.37safer61.42–72.0661.41–72.68
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5113.6625.17safe8.67–14.3510.71–16.6019.39–30.95safer7.92–15.109.97–17.3517.88–32.46
Offsides
39%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.162.224.38safe1.00–3.321.12–3.312.12–6.63safer0.70–3.620.84–3.601.53–7.22
Yellow cards
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.932.214.14safe0.88–2.981.08–3.341.96–6.31safer0.61–3.240.79–3.631.40–6.87
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
39%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.875.62safe1.31–4.191.32–4.432.63–8.61safer0.93–4.570.89–4.851.82–9.43
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.30 0.48–4.13 0.00–4.61 | 34% 28% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.80 1.93–5.66 1.44–6.15 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 7.68 4.07–11.28 3.12–12.24 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Total shots | 11.47 7.54–15.39 6.45–16.49 | 11.92 8.36–15.48 7.40–16.44 | 23.39 15.90–30.88 13.85–32.93 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 7.36 4.42–10.30 3.59–11.13 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.62 | 15.56 9.94–21.18 8.37–22.75 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 3.66 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.34 2.34–7.92 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.45 5.24–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 54% 33% |
| Possession % | 57.91 51.12–64.70 49.45–66.37 | 43.44 36.66–50.23 34.99–51.90 | — | 79% 18% |
| Passes | 506 439–573 421–592 | 353 286–419 269–437 | 859 725–993 690–1028 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.74 62.71–70.77 61.42–72.06 | 67.04 62.72–71.37 61.41–72.68 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 11.51 8.67–14.35 7.92–15.10 | 13.66 10.71–16.60 9.97–17.35 | 25.17 19.39–30.95 17.88–32.46 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 2.16 1.00–3.32 0.70–3.62 | 2.22 1.12–3.31 0.84–3.60 | 4.38 2.12–6.63 1.53–7.22 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.88–2.98 0.61–3.24 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 4.14 1.96–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.31–4.19 0.93–4.57 | 2.87 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.82–9.43 | 39% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.