Predicted match statistics
Goals
91%
homeawaytotalprediction3.750.644.39safe2.78–4.720.00–1.492.56–6.21safer2.53–4.970.00–1.722.08–6.69
Shots on target
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.042.4311.47safe7.18–10.900.68–4.177.86–15.07safer6.69–11.390.22–4.636.91–16.03
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction22.606.9529.55safe18.68–26.533.38–10.5122.06–37.04safer17.59–27.622.42–11.4720.01–39.09
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction15.544.4720.01safe12.60–18.481.79–7.1514.38–25.63safer11.77–19.311.05–7.8912.82–27.20
Blocked shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction5.851.217.05safe3.96–7.730.00–2.863.52–10.59safer3.42–8.270.00–3.352.48–11.62
Corners
97%
homeawaytotalprediction9.112.5911.70safe6.90–11.320.59–4.597.49–15.92safer6.32–11.900.06–5.136.38–17.02
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction75.4024.22safe68.61–82.1917.44–31.01safer66.94–83.8615.77–32.68
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction8012841085safe734–868217–350951–1218safer715–886200–368915–1254
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction85.2066.23safe81.17–89.2261.91–70.55safer79.87–90.5260.60–71.86
Fouls
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.969.9618.92safe6.12–11.797.02–12.9113.14–24.70safer5.36–12.556.27–13.6611.63–26.21
Offsides
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.883.045.92safe1.72–4.041.94–4.133.67–8.17safer1.42–4.351.65–4.423.08–8.76
Yellow cards
22%
25%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction0.951.642.59safe0.00–1.990.51–2.770.41–4.77safer0.00–2.260.22–3.060.00–5.32
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
90%
homeawaytotalprediction1.835.787.61safe0.39–3.274.23–7.344.62–10.60safer0.01–3.653.80–7.763.81–11.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.75 2.78–4.72 2.53–4.97 | 0.64 0.00–1.49 0.00–1.72 | 4.39 2.56–6.21 2.08–6.69 | 91% |
| Shots on target | 9.04 7.18–10.90 6.69–11.39 | 2.43 0.68–4.17 0.22–4.63 | 11.47 7.86–15.07 6.91–16.03 | 97% |
| Total shots | 22.60 18.68–26.53 17.59–27.62 | 6.95 3.38–10.51 2.42–11.47 | 29.55 22.06–37.04 20.01–39.09 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 15.54 12.60–18.48 11.77–19.31 | 4.47 1.79–7.15 1.05–7.89 | 20.01 14.38–25.63 12.82–27.20 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.85 3.96–7.73 3.42–8.27 | 1.21 0.00–2.86 0.00–3.35 | 7.05 3.52–10.59 2.48–11.62 | 95% |
| Corners | 9.11 6.90–11.32 6.32–11.90 | 2.59 0.59–4.59 0.06–5.13 | 11.70 7.49–15.92 6.38–17.02 | 97% |
| Possession % | 75.40 68.61–82.19 66.94–83.86 | 24.22 17.44–31.01 15.77–32.68 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 801 734–868 715–886 | 284 217–350 200–368 | 1085 951–1218 915–1254 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 85.20 81.17–89.22 79.87–90.52 | 66.23 61.91–70.55 60.60–71.86 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 8.96 6.12–11.79 5.36–12.55 | 9.96 7.02–12.91 6.27–13.66 | 18.92 13.14–24.70 11.63–26.21 | 36% 55% |
| Offsides | 2.88 1.72–4.04 1.42–4.35 | 3.04 1.94–4.13 1.65–4.42 | 5.92 3.67–8.17 3.08–8.76 | 39% 17% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 0.95 0.00–1.99 0.00–2.26 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 2.59 0.41–4.77 0.00–5.32 | 22% 25% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 1.83 0.39–3.27 0.01–3.65 | 5.78 4.23–7.34 3.80–7.76 | 7.61 4.62–10.60 3.81–11.42 | 90% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.