La Liga·Regular Season - 25·
La Liga·Regular Season - 25·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.422.71safe0.32–2.260.56–2.270.89–4.53safer0.07–2.510.33–2.500.41–5.01
Shots on target
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.639.06safe2.57–6.292.89–6.385.46–12.67safer2.08–6.782.43–6.844.50–13.62
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.4212.7326.15safe9.50–17.359.17–16.2918.67–33.64safer8.41–18.448.21–17.2516.61–35.69
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.838.2017.03safe5.89–11.775.52–10.8811.41–22.65safer5.06–12.604.78–11.629.84–24.22
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.773.957.72safe1.89–5.652.30–5.604.18–11.26safer1.34–6.191.81–6.103.15–12.29
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.194.9510.14safe2.98–7.412.95–6.955.93–14.36safer2.40–7.982.42–7.484.82–15.46
Possession %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction50.5249.56safe43.73–57.3142.78–56.35safer42.06–58.9841.11–58.02
Passes
62%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction487449936safe420–555382–515802–1070safer402–573365–533767–1105
Pass accuracy %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction66.9771.32safe62.94–70.9967.00–75.65safer61.64–72.2965.69–76.96
Fouls
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6311.6722.31safe7.80–13.478.73–14.6216.52–28.09safer7.04–14.237.98–15.3615.02–29.59
Offsides
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.653.51safe0.70–3.020.56–2.741.26–5.76safer0.40–3.320.27–3.030.67–6.35
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.893.72safe0.78–2.880.76–3.021.54–5.90safer0.51–3.140.47–3.310.98–6.45
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
46%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.222.946.16safe1.79–4.661.39–4.503.17–9.16safer1.40–5.050.96–4.922.36–9.97
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.43 2.57–6.29 2.08–6.78 | 4.63 2.89–6.38 2.43–6.84 | 9.06 5.46–12.67 4.50–13.62 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.42 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 12.73 9.17–16.29 8.21–17.25 | 26.15 18.67–33.64 16.61–35.69 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.89–11.77 5.06–12.60 | 8.20 5.52–10.88 4.78–11.62 | 17.03 11.41–22.65 9.84–24.22 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.77 1.89–5.65 1.34–6.19 | 3.95 2.30–5.60 1.81–6.10 | 7.72 4.18–11.26 3.15–12.29 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.19 2.98–7.41 2.40–7.98 | 4.95 2.95–6.95 2.42–7.48 | 10.14 5.93–14.36 4.82–15.46 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 50.52 43.73–57.31 42.06–58.98 | 49.56 42.78–56.35 41.11–58.02 | — | 50% 45% |
| Passes | 487 420–555 402–573 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 936 802–1070 767–1105 | 62% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.97 62.94–70.99 61.64–72.29 | 71.32 67.00–75.65 65.69–76.96 | — | 27% 69% |
| Fouls | 10.63 7.80–13.47 7.04–14.23 | 11.67 8.73–14.62 7.98–15.36 | 22.31 16.52–28.09 15.02–29.59 | 37% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.22 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.94 1.39–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 6.16 3.17–9.16 2.36–9.97 | 46% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.