Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
27%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.450.942.39safe0.49–2.420.08–1.790.57–4.21safer0.23–2.670.00–2.020.09–4.69
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.803.208.00safe2.94–6.661.45–4.944.39–11.60safer2.45–7.150.99–5.413.44–12.56
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction14.939.3524.27safe11.00–18.855.78–12.9116.78–31.76safer9.91–19.944.82–13.8714.73–33.81
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction9.755.9715.72safe6.81–12.693.29–8.6510.10–21.35safer5.98–13.522.55–9.398.53–22.91
Blocked shots
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.682.357.03safe2.80–6.570.69–4.003.49–10.57safer2.26–7.110.20–4.492.46–11.60
Corners
78%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.319.53safe4.01–8.441.31–5.315.32–13.74safer3.44–9.010.77–5.844.21–14.85
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction55.6043.86safe48.81–62.3937.08–50.65safer47.14–64.0635.41–52.32
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction461352814safe394–529286–419680–947safer376–547268–436644–983
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction68.4266.86safe64.39–72.4562.53–71.18safer63.09–73.7461.22–72.49
Fouls
51%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction15.0414.4129.46safe12.21–17.8811.47–17.3623.67–35.24safer11.45–18.6410.72–18.1122.17–36.74
Offsides
44%
25%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.302.87safe0.41–2.730.20–2.390.61–5.12safer0.11–3.030.00–2.680.02–5.71
Yellow cards
29%
18%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.032.714.74safe0.98–3.081.58–3.842.56–6.92safer0.71–3.341.29–4.132.01–7.48
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
23%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.063.245.31safe0.63–3.501.69–4.802.31–8.30safer0.24–3.891.26–5.221.50–9.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.49–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 0.94 0.08–1.79 0.00–2.02 | 2.39 0.57–4.21 0.09–4.69 | 49% 27% 24% |
| Shots on target | 4.80 2.94–6.66 2.45–7.15 | 3.20 1.45–4.94 0.99–5.41 | 8.00 4.39–11.60 3.44–12.56 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 14.93 11.00–18.85 9.91–19.94 | 9.35 5.78–12.91 4.82–13.87 | 24.27 16.78–31.76 14.73–33.81 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.75 6.81–12.69 5.98–13.52 | 5.97 3.29–8.65 2.55–9.39 | 15.72 10.10–21.35 8.53–22.91 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.68 2.80–6.57 2.26–7.11 | 2.35 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 7.03 3.49–10.57 2.46–11.60 | 76% 14% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.44 3.44–9.01 | 3.31 1.31–5.31 0.77–5.84 | 9.53 5.32–13.74 4.21–14.85 | 78% 13% |
| Possession % | 55.60 48.81–62.39 47.14–64.06 | 43.86 37.08–50.65 35.41–52.32 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 461 394–529 376–547 | 352 286–419 268–436 | 814 680–947 644–983 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.42 64.39–72.45 63.09–73.74 | 66.86 62.53–71.18 61.22–72.49 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 15.04 12.21–17.88 11.45–18.64 | 14.41 11.47–17.36 10.72–18.11 | 29.46 23.67–35.24 22.17–36.74 | 51% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.30 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.68 | 2.87 0.61–5.12 0.02–5.71 | 44% 25% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 2.71 1.58–3.84 1.29–4.13 | 4.74 2.56–6.92 2.01–7.48 | 29% 18% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.06 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.24 1.69–4.80 1.26–5.22 | 5.31 2.31–8.30 1.50–9.11 | 23% 16% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+