La Liga·Regular Season - 28·
La Liga·Regular Season - 28·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.070.842.91safe1.10–3.040.00–1.701.09–4.73safer0.85–3.290.00–1.920.61–5.21
Shots on target
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.059.52safe4.60–8.331.31–4.795.91–13.12safer4.12–8.820.84–5.264.96–14.08
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction18.088.6826.76safe14.16–22.015.12–12.2419.28–34.25safer13.07–23.104.16–13.2017.23–36.30
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction12.375.7918.16safe9.42–15.313.11–8.4712.53–23.78safer8.59–16.142.37–9.2110.97–25.35
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.182.007.19safe3.30–7.070.35–3.663.65–10.72safer2.76–7.610.00–4.152.62–11.76
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.693.3910.08safe4.48–8.901.39–5.395.87–14.30safer3.90–9.480.86–5.934.76–15.40
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.1140.01safe53.32–66.9033.23–46.80safer51.65–68.5731.56–48.47
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction570371941safe503–637305–437807–1075safer485–655287–455772–1110
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction75.2368.99safe71.20–79.2664.66–73.31safer69.91–80.5663.36–74.62
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0810.6720.75safe7.24–12.927.73–13.6214.97–26.53safer6.48–13.676.98–14.3713.46–28.04
Offsides
30%
18%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.072.724.80safe0.91–3.231.63–3.822.54–7.05safer0.61–3.531.34–4.101.95–7.64
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.933.30safe0.32–2.420.80–3.061.12–5.47safer0.05–2.680.51–3.350.56–6.03
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.184.266.44safe0.74–3.622.70–5.823.45–9.43safer0.36–4.002.28–6.242.64–10.24
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.07 1.10–3.04 0.85–3.29 | 0.84 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.92 | 2.91 1.09–4.73 0.61–5.21 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.47 4.60–8.33 4.12–8.82 | 3.05 1.31–4.79 0.84–5.26 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 83% |
| Total shots | 18.08 14.16–22.01 13.07–23.10 | 8.68 5.12–12.24 4.16–13.20 | 26.76 19.28–34.25 17.23–36.30 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.59–16.14 | 5.79 3.11–8.47 2.37–9.21 | 18.16 12.53–23.78 10.97–25.35 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 5.18 3.30–7.07 2.76–7.61 | 2.00 0.35–3.66 0.00–4.15 | 7.19 3.65–10.72 2.62–11.76 | 85% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.48–8.90 3.90–9.48 | 3.39 1.39–5.39 0.86–5.93 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 81% |
| Possession % | 60.11 53.32–66.90 51.65–68.57 | 40.01 33.23–46.80 31.56–48.47 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 570 503–637 485–655 | 371 305–437 287–455 | 941 807–1075 772–1110 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.23 71.20–79.26 69.91–80.56 | 68.99 64.66–73.31 63.36–74.62 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.24–12.92 6.48–13.67 | 10.67 7.73–13.62 6.98–14.37 | 20.75 14.97–26.53 13.46–28.04 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 2.07 0.91–3.23 0.61–3.53 | 2.72 1.63–3.82 1.34–4.10 | 4.80 2.54–7.05 1.95–7.64 | 30% 18% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 1.93 0.80–3.06 0.51–3.35 | 3.30 1.12–5.47 0.56–6.03 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.74–3.62 0.36–4.00 | 4.26 2.70–5.82 2.28–6.24 | 6.44 3.45–9.43 2.64–10.24 | 15% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.