La Liga·Regular Season - 29·
La Liga·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.530.853.38safe1.56–3.500.00–1.711.56–5.21safer1.31–3.750.00–1.931.08–5.69
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.843.159.98safe4.97–8.701.40–4.896.38–13.59safer4.48–9.190.94–5.355.42–14.54
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.569.4227.97safe14.63–22.485.85–12.9820.48–35.46safer13.54–23.574.89–13.9418.43–37.51
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.326.0518.37safe9.38–15.263.37–8.7312.75–23.99safer8.55–16.092.63–9.4711.18–25.56
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.852.667.51safe2.96–6.731.01–4.313.97–11.04safer2.42–7.270.51–4.812.93–12.08
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.863.6410.50safe4.65–9.081.64–5.646.29–14.72safer4.07–9.651.11–6.185.18–15.83
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.0840.09safe53.29–66.8733.30–46.87safer51.62–68.5431.63–48.55
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction587389976safe519–654323–456842–1109safer501–672305–473806–1145
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction76.3569.57safe72.32–80.3865.25–73.89safer71.03–81.6763.94–75.20
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1113.6225.73safe9.27–14.9510.68–16.5719.95–31.52safer8.52–15.709.93–17.3218.45–33.02
Offsides
57%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.383.61safe1.07–3.390.28–2.471.36–5.86safer0.77–3.700.00–2.760.77–6.45
Yellow cards
22%
19%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.353.77safe0.37–2.471.22–3.481.59–5.95safer0.11–2.740.93–3.771.03–6.51
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.130.19safe0.00–0.210.00–0.320.00–0.53safer0.00–0.360.00–0.450.00–0.82
GK saves
16%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.336.60safe0.84–3.712.77–5.883.61–9.59safer0.45–4.102.35–6.312.80–10.41
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.53 1.56–3.50 1.31–3.75 | 0.85 0.00–1.71 0.00–1.93 | 3.38 1.56–5.21 1.08–5.69 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.84 4.97–8.70 4.48–9.19 | 3.15 1.40–4.89 0.94–5.35 | 9.98 6.38–13.59 5.42–14.54 | 85% |
| Total shots | 18.56 14.63–22.48 13.54–23.57 | 9.42 5.85–12.98 4.89–13.94 | 27.97 20.48–35.46 18.43–37.51 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.32 9.38–15.26 8.55–16.09 | 6.05 3.37–8.73 2.63–9.47 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.85 2.96–6.73 2.42–7.27 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.51–4.81 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.08 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.86 4.65–9.08 4.07–9.65 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.18 | 10.50 6.29–14.72 5.18–15.83 | 80% |
| Possession % | 60.08 53.29–66.87 51.62–68.54 | 40.09 33.30–46.87 31.63–48.55 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 587 519–654 501–672 | 389 323–456 305–473 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.35 72.32–80.38 71.03–81.67 | 69.57 65.25–73.89 63.94–75.20 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 12.11 9.27–14.95 8.52–15.70 | 13.62 10.68–16.57 9.93–17.32 | 25.73 19.95–31.52 18.45–33.02 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.70 | 1.38 0.28–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.61 1.36–5.86 0.77–6.45 | 57% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.35 1.22–3.48 0.93–3.77 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.51 | 22% 19% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 4.33 2.77–5.88 2.35–6.31 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.80–10.41 | 16% 73% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+