Predicted match statistics
Goals
90%
homeawaytotalprediction3.750.714.46safe2.78–4.720.00–1.562.64–6.28safer2.53–4.970.00–1.792.16–6.76
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.362.5710.93safe6.49–10.220.83–4.317.32–14.53safer6.01–10.710.36–4.786.37–15.49
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.097.8526.94safe15.17–23.024.29–11.4119.45–34.43safer14.07–24.113.33–12.3717.40–36.48
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction14.244.4318.67safe11.30–17.181.75–7.1113.04–24.29safer10.47–18.011.01–7.8411.48–25.86
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction4.741.306.04safe2.85–6.620.00–2.962.50–9.57safer2.31–7.160.00–3.451.47–10.61
Corners
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.102.7010.80safe5.89–10.310.70–4.706.59–15.01safer5.31–10.890.17–5.235.48–16.12
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction75.0224.62safe68.23–81.8117.83–31.40safer66.56–83.4816.16–33.07
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7822531036safe715–849187–320902–1169safer697–868169–337866–1205
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction83.0364.58safe79.00–87.0660.26–68.91safer77.71–88.3658.95–70.22
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6512.3122.96safe7.81–13.499.36–15.2517.17–28.74safer7.05–14.248.61–16.0015.67–30.24
Offsides
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.295.51safe1.06–3.382.20–4.383.26–7.76safer0.76–3.681.91–4.672.67–8.35
Yellow cards
22%
23%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.862.97safe0.06–2.150.73–2.990.79–5.14safer0.00–2.420.44–3.280.23–5.70
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.120.17safe0.00–0.210.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.360.00–0.440.00–0.80
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.884.536.40safe0.44–3.312.97–6.083.41–9.40safer0.05–3.702.55–6.512.60–10.21
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.75 2.78–4.72 2.53–4.97 | 0.71 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 4.46 2.64–6.28 2.16–6.76 | 90% |
| Shots on target | 8.36 6.49–10.22 6.01–10.71 | 2.57 0.83–4.31 0.36–4.78 | 10.93 7.32–14.53 6.37–15.49 | 95% |
| Total shots | 19.09 15.17–23.02 14.07–24.11 | 7.85 4.29–11.41 3.33–12.37 | 26.94 19.45–34.43 17.40–36.48 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 14.24 11.30–17.18 10.47–18.01 | 4.43 1.75–7.11 1.01–7.84 | 18.67 13.04–24.29 11.48–25.86 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.85–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 1.30 0.00–2.96 0.00–3.45 | 6.04 2.50–9.57 1.47–10.61 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.10 5.89–10.31 5.31–10.89 | 2.70 0.70–4.70 0.17–5.23 | 10.80 6.59–15.01 5.48–16.12 | 94% |
| Possession % | 75.02 68.23–81.81 66.56–83.48 | 24.62 17.83–31.40 16.16–33.07 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 782 715–849 697–868 | 253 187–320 169–337 | 1036 902–1169 866–1205 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 83.03 79.00–87.06 77.71–88.36 | 64.58 60.26–68.91 58.95–70.22 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.65 7.81–13.49 7.05–14.24 | 12.31 9.36–15.25 8.61–16.00 | 22.96 17.17–28.74 15.67–30.24 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.22 1.06–3.38 0.76–3.68 | 3.29 2.20–4.38 1.91–4.67 | 5.51 3.26–7.76 2.67–8.35 | 25% 16% 59% |
| Yellow cards | 1.10 0.06–2.15 0.00–2.42 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 2.97 0.79–5.14 0.23–5.70 | 22% 23% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.88 0.44–3.31 0.05–3.70 | 4.53 2.97–6.08 2.55–6.51 | 6.40 3.41–9.40 2.60–10.21 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.