La Liga·Regular Season - 31·
La Liga·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.923.734.65safe0.00–1.892.88–4.592.83–6.47safer0.00–2.142.65–4.812.35–6.95
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction2.928.7111.62safe1.06–4.786.96–10.458.02–15.23safer0.57–5.276.50–10.917.06–16.19
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction6.6921.7628.45safe2.76–10.6118.20–25.3320.96–35.94safer1.67–11.7017.24–26.2918.91–37.99
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction4.9515.8320.78safe2.01–7.8913.15–18.5115.16–26.40safer1.18–8.7212.41–19.2513.59–27.97
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction1.705.597.29safe0.00–3.583.94–7.243.76–10.83safer0.00–4.133.45–7.742.72–11.86
Corners
90%
homeawaytotalprediction2.897.4710.36safe0.68–5.105.47–9.476.14–14.57safer0.10–5.684.93–10.005.04–15.68
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction27.6373.64safe20.84–34.4266.86–80.43safer19.17–36.0965.19–82.10
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3067631069safe239–373697–829935–1203safer221–392679–847900–1239
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction60.8285.65safe56.79–64.8581.33–89.97safer55.50–66.1480.02–91.28
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6010.1921.79safe8.76–14.437.24–13.1316.00–27.57safer8.00–15.196.50–13.8814.50–29.07
Offsides
44%
15%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.477.03safe2.39–4.722.38–4.574.77–9.28safer2.09–5.022.09–4.854.19–9.87
Yellow cards
51%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.443.46safe0.96–3.060.32–2.571.28–5.64safer0.70–3.330.02–2.860.72–6.19
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
88%
homeawaytotalprediction5.601.967.55safe4.16–7.030.40–3.514.56–10.55safer3.77–7.420.00–3.943.75–11.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 3.73 2.88–4.59 2.65–4.81 | 4.65 2.83–6.47 2.35–6.95 | 87% |
| Shots on target | 2.92 1.06–4.78 0.57–5.27 | 8.71 6.96–10.45 6.50–10.91 | 11.62 8.02–15.23 7.06–16.19 | 94% |
| Total shots | 6.69 2.76–10.61 1.67–11.70 | 21.76 18.20–25.33 17.24–26.29 | 28.45 20.96–35.94 18.91–37.99 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 4.95 2.01–7.89 1.18–8.72 | 15.83 13.15–18.51 12.41–19.25 | 20.78 15.16–26.40 13.59–27.97 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 1.70 0.00–3.58 0.00–4.13 | 5.59 3.94–7.24 3.45–7.74 | 7.29 3.76–10.83 2.72–11.86 | 90% |
| Corners | 2.89 0.68–5.10 0.10–5.68 | 7.47 5.47–9.47 4.93–10.00 | 10.36 6.14–14.57 5.04–15.68 | 90% |
| Possession % | 27.63 20.84–34.42 19.17–36.09 | 73.64 66.86–80.43 65.19–82.10 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 306 239–373 221–392 | 763 697–829 679–847 | 1069 935–1203 900–1239 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.82 56.79–64.85 55.50–66.14 | 85.65 81.33–89.97 80.02–91.28 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.60 8.76–14.43 8.00–15.19 | 10.19 7.24–13.13 6.50–13.88 | 21.79 16.00–27.57 14.50–29.07 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 3.56 2.39–4.72 2.09–5.02 | 3.47 2.38–4.57 2.09–4.85 | 7.03 4.77–9.28 4.19–9.87 | 44% 15% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 1.44 0.32–2.57 0.02–2.86 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.72–6.19 | 51% 22% 28% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 5.60 4.16–7.03 3.77–7.42 | 1.96 0.40–3.51 0.00–3.94 | 7.55 4.56–10.55 3.75–11.36 | 88% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.