Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.382.54safe0.19–2.120.53–2.240.72–4.36safer0.00–2.380.30–2.470.24–4.84
Shots on target
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.314.248.56safe2.45–6.182.50–5.994.95–12.16safer1.96–6.672.04–6.454.00–13.12
Total shots
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6214.1226.74safe8.70–16.5510.56–17.6919.26–34.23safer7.61–17.649.60–18.6417.21–36.28
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction7.408.4415.85safe4.46–10.355.76–11.1210.22–21.47safer3.63–11.175.02–11.868.66–23.04
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.483.226.70safe1.60–5.361.56–4.873.16–10.23safer1.05–5.901.07–5.362.12–11.27
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.6110.00safe3.17–7.602.61–6.615.79–14.21safer2.60–8.172.08–7.154.68–15.32
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4144.31safe48.62–62.2037.53–51.10safer46.95–63.8735.86–52.77
Passes
85%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction480354834safe413–548287–420700–968safer395–566270–438665–1003
Pass accuracy %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction68.5966.84safe64.56–72.6262.52–71.17safer63.27–73.9161.21–72.48
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5813.7027.27safe10.74–16.4110.75–16.6421.49–33.05safer9.98–17.1710.00–17.3919.98–34.56
Offsides
34%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.823.42safe0.44–2.760.73–2.921.17–5.68safer0.14–3.060.44–3.200.58–6.26
Yellow cards
39%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.232.294.52safe1.18–3.281.16–3.412.34–6.70safer0.92–3.550.86–3.711.78–7.25
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.130.25safe0.00–0.280.00–0.310.00–0.59safer0.00–0.430.00–0.450.00–0.88
GK saves
43%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.996.05safe1.63–4.501.43–4.553.06–9.04safer1.24–4.891.01–4.972.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.12 0.00–2.38 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 31% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 4.31 2.45–6.18 1.96–6.67 | 4.24 2.50–5.99 2.04–6.45 | 8.56 4.95–12.16 4.00–13.12 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 12.62 8.70–16.55 7.61–17.64 | 14.12 10.56–17.69 9.60–18.64 | 26.74 19.26–34.23 17.21–36.28 | 35% 58% |
| Shots in box | 7.40 4.46–10.35 3.63–11.17 | 8.44 5.76–11.12 5.02–11.86 | 15.85 10.22–21.47 8.66–23.04 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.48 1.60–5.36 1.05–5.90 | 3.22 1.56–4.87 1.07–5.36 | 6.70 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.27 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.61 2.61–6.61 2.08–7.15 | 10.00 5.79–14.21 4.68–15.32 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 55.41 48.62–62.20 46.95–63.87 | 44.31 37.53–51.10 35.86–52.77 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 480 413–548 395–566 | 354 287–420 270–438 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 85% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.59 64.56–72.62 63.27–73.91 | 66.84 62.52–71.17 61.21–72.48 | — | 56% 39% |
| Fouls | 13.58 10.74–16.41 9.98–17.17 | 13.70 10.75–16.64 10.00–17.39 | 27.27 21.49–33.05 19.98–34.56 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.82 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.20 | 3.42 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.26 | 34% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 2.23 1.18–3.28 0.92–3.55 | 2.29 1.16–3.41 0.86–3.71 | 4.52 2.34–6.70 1.78–7.25 | 39% 19% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.25 0.00–0.59 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 2.99 1.43–4.55 1.01–4.97 | 6.05 3.06–9.04 2.25–9.86 | 43% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.